Originally Posted by
Guava
I think judging from this thread, the HK market may exhibit significant home bias and also the fact that CX has not gone down to a level that would drive its captured audience away, yet. The key word is "yet". But if it were continue to deteriorate and cut, I am afraid only mileage redeemers will be left just like the AA and UA.
Don't know if you remember this, just a few years ago, Thai government officials loath at flying Thai Airways because the TG products were so outdated. Complacency is dangerous, if the captured audience doesn't wake up, 10 years from now we may yet see "TG #2" based out of HKG.
Maybe other O&D like Lufthansa can make a dent into CX's traffic
But how much O&D competition does CX face?
- Aus, NZ, Mainland China: no one offers direct F
- Japan: NH and JL doesn't have F
- UK: You said CX has a way to go before getting to BA levels.
- Canada: AC doesn't have F
- US: used to offer decent F didn't u say? That means they don't now?
- India: no one offers direct F
TG, SQ, KE and OZ may offer F but who really need SF to go there?
So it's the continental destinations where CX faces any meaningful competition. HKers will switch, but only if times are good.