FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - I got/didn't get a MVP/GOLD/75K upgrade on AS (2015)
Old Mar 12, 2015, 7:02 pm
  #234  
Endventure
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: SEA, PAE
Programs: Alaska MVPG-100K; HH-Diamond
Posts: 80
Hey there... I am a MVPG75K who, through a combination of good luck with Cyber Monday, Flash Sales, other things I unwittingly stumbled upon, and business travel, have taken quite a few flights in 2015. I have had wonderful luck in receiving upgrades but also see some trends changing in the past few weeks (e.g. PHL & DTW).

I imagine there is a 20+-yo data analytics genius who could create a rough algorithm of likelihood for UGs based on what we all post and I would love to see such a thing emerge. However, I suspect human nature is a confounder thus who knows what will happen. Anyway, here are the last few months of my UGs on AS metal:

1/20 SEA-TPA (AS 774) no UG; exit row with other MRs
1/20 TPA-SEA (AS 775) UG; T – 120
1/23 SEA-LAX (AS 424) UG; T – 120
1/23 LAX-SEA (AS 463) UG; T -120
1/24 SEA-PHL (AS 32) UG; T- 120
1/24 PHL-SEA (AS 27) UG; T -120 (9/16 in FC were MR…some of us bonded)
1/28 SEA-SLC (AS 726) no UG (Sundance festival…lots of AS FF)
1/29 SLC-SEA (AS 727) UG: T - < 24
2/04 SEA-TPA (AS 774) no UG; exit row with folks from 1/20…fun ☺
2/04 TPA-SEA (AS 775) UG; T -120
2/14 SEA-DTW (AS 792) UG; T-72
2/14 DTW-SEA (AS 793) UG; T-120
2/21 SEA-DTW (AS 792) UG; T- 1 (at boarding)
2/21 DTW-SEA (AS 793) UG; T- 120
2/24 SEA-PHL (AS 32) no UG; way down on the list…the times are changing
2/24 PHL-SEA (AS 27) UG; T-120
2/28 SEA-BWI (AS 766) UG; T-120
2/28 BWI-SEA (AS 767) UG; T-120
3/10 SEA-ATL AS 746) Paid FC
3/12 ATL-SEA (AS 745) UG; T-4 hrs…shocked that I was Ug'd

Cheers

MC

Last edited by Endventure; Mar 12, 2015 at 10:07 pm
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