Originally Posted by
luckypierre
How sensitive is the PRASM to evaluating HVF defections? Anecdotally, among the 20 or so folks that I know well enough to have an understanding of their United travel patterns, about 2/3rds (including a half dozen based in Houston) have moved the bulk of their business to other airlines, mostly AA.
Can a flat or declining number give any insight or is it simply overwhelmed by other, larger factors in the airline's performance (route structure, fleet choice, etc)?
It's not as big as people claim. UAL flew over 214,000,000,000 seat miles in 2014. Insinuating that HVFs can drive changes rests on the assumption that a large group of passengers stopped the discretionary purchase of premium or unrestricted fares.