Originally Posted by
Kacee
You should always assume BF will go out full.
I don't think I've had an empty seat next to me on at least ten prior TPAC/TATL's.
If they don't fill the cabin with upgraders, they'll fill it with nonrevs.
While it's a safe assumption in the ordinary course, this is a couple days after Christmas and right before New Year. Talk about low paid-biz loads.
Take a look at the E+ seating. If it's pretty empty it means most of the flyers are non-elite, which means fewer upgraders and your chances are better.
FWIW, I've had recent flights go out with a couple of empty seats in biz, including midweek from NRT-IAD, which is usually full.