Originally Posted by
rapidex
The problem with that idea is that if you die in the 10 years you wait for redemtion opportunities your avios are forfeit.
Any one of us could die at any time. But since I am 32 I am hoping not to die yet and look forward to another 40+ years of flying.
With an average of, say, 10 CW or F sectors per year I can look forward to another 400 such flights. In that time I will surely have plenty of opportunities to spend my Avios.
My perspective has always been that the FFP game is about minimising the overall cost of 100% J and F flying over many years and a large number of flights. Unless things radically change for me there
will be ample opportunity for me to redeem in the future, so now when reward space is scarce I am happy to spend cash.