Will ABQ survive?
I flew JFK-ABQ round trip this past weekend and both legs had light loads. The ABQ-JFK flight last night had maybe 50 people. The good news was the flight left early, but I wonder how much longer the route has before B6 starts to take a hard look at the future profitability of the route. I have flown the route 4-5x since B6 began flying the route and it's been a lifesaver. I would hate to lose the route.
I realize the flight only began in April 2013 and there really hasn't been much publicity of the route after the initial announcement, but I really thought the route was viable and now I'm not so sure. Fares are in line with AA and United, which have a stopover in either DEN/ORD/DFW, so perhaps B6 fares will rise as people will pay the premium for the non-stop.
I do believe there are 2 points that will keep the route going for the foreseeable future.
1) The flight times allow for B6 to utilize an aircraft that may not be utilized on another route (JFK-ABQ leaves at 8pm, and ABQ-JFK is at 12am, with a 30-40 min turnaround).
2) Incentives - I think ABQ really needs this B6 flight and would be willing to subsidize the route for a few years. They are already paying for the overtime pay for the TSA employees and if B6 cuts the route, I doubt any airline will attempt to revive the route again. The worst case scenario I envision is B6 adding a quick stop in DEN and see if the route would be viable by adding DEN passengers.