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Old Jan 13, 2014 | 10:34 am
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lkar
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How to Predict Award Availability?

I feel fairly confident the answer to my question is, simply, "no," but if there are any tricks of the trade I thought I'd ask.

I have a good stash of choice points expiring at the end of this year. I would like to use them for Scandinavian properties this summer. I have back up reservations at Radisson properties, but if I can use my choice points, that would be better. If, however, there will be no availability at my desired Choice properties when the 60-day window opens, I'll be in a somewhat tough spot, because I'll have more points to burn than I likely can before the end of the year. (For example, if I knew today that there would be no availability this summer, I'd start burning points now.)

So, the question is, do any of you have any good tricks or tips to get a sense of what availability is likely to be at the 60-day window? Is there a way to get a rough sense of occupancy, etc.? For example, I know that rooms are available right now, but whether they are the last two rooms, or two of 100, is impossible to know. My expectation is that points redemptions in Scandinavia is iffy in the summer in general, but I guess I'm wondering, how iffy? Like, "tough," or "impossible"?
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