Using those airfare numbers above as well as the number of flights that quarter*, I estimate the following:
Code:
One way
Quarterly
From To flights Load Factor RASM
ATL TTN 48 0.906551932 $0.12705
CHI TTN 72 0.719605475 $0.10393
CMH TTN 36 0.401570048 $0.07624
DTW TTN 48 0.663496377 $0.13425
MCO TTN 52 0.852842809 $0.11398
RSW TTN 26 0.903010033 $0.11157
FLL TTN 39 0.875139353 $0.09467
TPA TTN 39 0.863991081 $0.09577
MSY TTN 26 0.893255295 $0.08778
RDU TTN 72 0.463969404 $0.10708
It's funny, DTW, CMH, and RDU have the lightest loads yet the 5 new cities added this year are all similar in nature. RASM for Detroit seem to be very high, so it has that going for it. Hopefully the 3rd quarter numbers will show some nice growth, as this was either the launch quarter or 2 months after the launch date for every route except MCO.
Edited to add: CASM in Q2 was 11.45 cents. While it is impossible to know how that translates to these routes (the average TTN stage length is 200 miles less than Frontier's systemwide average, but costs may be lower as these are not int'l flights and TTN is cheaper to fly into than DEN), 2 of the 10 were profitable in this regard, and another 2 were within about 3%. Not bad for so soon after launch. As mentioned, 3rd quarter will really shine a light on route finances.
*weekly flights x 13 for Florida & MSY, weekly flights x 12 for other cities that launched 2nd week of April. I assumed 4x weekly for MCO, launch number of weekly flights for all other cities.