FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - Changes to BusinessElite Mileage Redemption and Award Hold policy
Old Aug 15, 2013 | 8:59 pm
  #300  
javabytes
FlyerTalk Evangelist
30 Countries Visited
1M
All eyes on you!
15 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Bye Delta
Programs: AA EXP, UA Silver, HH Diamond, IHG Plat, Hyatt Plat, Marriott Titanium, Nat'l EE, Avis PC, Hertz PC
Posts: 16,630
Originally Posted by flyerslc
Actually, I think it would be pretty easy, as they calculate estimated deferred revenue. In their 10-K, they state
"At December 31, 2012, the aggregate deferred revenue balance associated with the SkyMiles Program was $4.4 billion. A hypothetical 1% change in the number of outstanding miles estimated to be redeemed would result in a $30 million impact on our deferred revenue liability at December 31, 2012."
So for example, they can change deferred revenue liability by changing the estimate of miles likely to be redeemed, or the % of what they call "breakage", I love that term, which is how many miles never get used for a variety of reasons. They can make $30 million dollars by a 1% change. By increasing award levels by 20% overall, they could reduce their deferred revenue by as much as $600 million by a reasonable estimate!!!!

Deferring revenue and then devaluing that has immense benefits for a corporation. Not so much for the FF or the taxpayer.
No doubt death by a thousand cuts is easier than straight up pulling the plug.
javabytes is offline