Originally Posted by
KennyBSAT
So we know the US/AA merger will be delayed or killed, but we are unlikely to know which for a while. But many US/UA codeshares seem to have disappeared - who is to say US won't switch alliances even without the merger? Just a random thought from a not-very-frequent flier who only really cares as it relates to the use of Dividend miles...
IMO, there's zero chance of US moving to Oneworld if there's no merger with AA. Here's why:
A US move from Star to Oneworld would require government approval. How likely does anyone think that would be?
Is there any evidence that AA or Oneworld wants US to join Oneworld absent the merger?
Additionally, even if that move were granted, admission of US into the AA/BA/IB immunized joint venture would require government approval? Ignoring the long odds of the joint venture
wanting US to join, does anyone think the government would bless this anticompetitive move?
The *A immunized joint venture has excluded US from those reindeer games - so Oneworld would be chomping at the bit to admit US? I'm skeptical.
If the merger falls through, US isn't joining Oneworld.