That looks about right to me as there is a slight increase in capacity for the overall fleet from the 6 777-300's extra that will be in play by then which means overall capacity will increase.

I do wonder if the 767's will be slowed down a bit to get the 787 on a few new routes with SCL being my big hope of course as 8 787's for 7 767's is not really allowing much growth for new thin routes which is why the 787 was purchased in the first place.

The Hi-J and Mid-J thing will depend, I suspect, entirely on the D check inventory for the 747-400 fleet. My understanding is that the D check is almost akin to rebuilding the frame and is pretty pricey so I suspect this is the determinant of which planes go first.

I have to say that I do think BA will try to get the 747-400's off routes quickly - they are old and they use too much fuel as I have often said. I would suspect that the A380 and 777 fleet will be used to do all the longest routes where the savings are greatest so the Far East, South America, South Africa and US West Coast I think will be getting the 777-300 and A380 first.

One final point is of course the 9 options that BA has for more A380's - I suspect that these are on hold until they can see the performance of the A380 in the fleet and see if they need any more. I hope that they do - I would have thought the A380 would be a good Hi-J replacement and that would mean a fleet size of 20-25. This is what happened with the 777-300's - they saved so much money for BA that the strategy was changed to get them onto the longer sectors as the savings were so great.

FD.