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Old Apr 6, 2013 | 7:39 am
  #58  
adrian1980uk
 
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA exec club
Posts: 77
Originally Posted by Flying Doctor
So it would look as if this indeed is the 767 replacement and additionally some growth and then some of the oher L/H fleet replacement.

It is probably correct that 50+ 747-400's isn't that flexible for a fleet and that some routes need more capacity and some less. At the time BA purchansed the 747-400 the options for L/H airframes was much more limited. Also based on the 77W BA's aim seems to be to slightly reduce Y capacity but maintain W, J and F (and in some cases even expand it). The J market in particular has changed beyond all recognition to that of 20-30 years ago. At that time nearly all Premium Travel was corporate paid for wheras now invdividuals paying for J is now 50% of the market and this is likely to continue in the future. As much as we all go on about capacity, with a few exceptions Y as a cabin makes no money at all and barely covers fuel costs........

So the next stage of the fleet will be interesting. It is clearly now the A350 vs 777X. I think you might see the options on the A380 converted but I suspect that BA is taking a cautious approach and wants to see how they perform in real life. This was what happened with the 77W - it was only after a few months when they could assess the peformance of these new birds that they then decided they really liked them and that they were peforming above all expectations. I would expect BA to review the A380 a few months after entry into service in terms of performance - I suspect that they will perform well but of course 469 seats is a lot to fill....

FD
I totally agree, although I supect the 777x is in pole position and likely to be main part of the long haul fleet replacement but as in any negotiating position, you let it be know the competition are there to get the best price. I'm not sure we'll too many more options on the A380 converted as they are big planes to fill and the 777x will have the 747 capacity ish.
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