Originally Posted by
dieuwer2
The odds have actually improved. Because 128 upgrading into 30 is about 43:10, while 72 upgrading into 20 is 36:10.
That's not the right calculation. 128 people on the flight are not eligible to request upgrades. As an EXP, I'm only 60-70 percent for upgrades on LAX-JFK with 36 seats. I'm assuming there are a couple of EXP's who requested upgrades before me but that most of people on that route are paid J. Its amazing to see the flight go from J7 4 hours before the flight to J0.
Since I'm usually no worse than no 4 on the list at the gate, I'm assuming the demand by paid and EXP on JFK-LAX is about 40. So I think 40 people are chasing 20, rather than 40 people chasing 36.
Considering they sell a lot of J on that route, I'm a little surprised they would go with 20 seats. I would have thought J sales on LAX-JFK average 30 seats per flight. I'm either way off or they are planning to add more flights.