Originally Posted by Land-of-Miles

How can we conclude this in the absence of the full facts?

It may have been an incorrect judgement but we can't say if it was a fair conclusion in the absence of all the facts. I wouldn't think it likely we will get those here somehow, because however innocent the protagonist may be, he cannot be impartial and thus any discussion of the potential cause and effect is going to be tinged with his own very partial perspective?