One thing is certain - the airline industry is changing a lot. Some airlines have folded. Others are racking up huge losses and in danger of folding. It is not unconceivable that United may go belly up.
American has extended elite status for a year. Others are offering ways to get additional status miles - these airlines would like FFs to continue flying, though they may further sweeten the pot at the end of the year.
I don't know what the question is with respect to what to expect in 02, my take on it is to expect more of the same.