Originally Posted by
cruisemates
While it is true that most ships sail (on average) at 103% capacity, that is based upon berth capacity, which means the number equal to the two persons (or fares) per cabin minimum.
BUT - most cabins sleep an extra person, sometime two. So, if you take a ship like Disney Dream which has a "berth capacity" of 2500, but can carry 4000 people total, it is at 100% capacity when it has just 2500 bookings (and not necessarily at 2 per cabin).
But that is a ship that regularly carries a third and/or fourth person in every booked cabin. Dream regularly carries about 3800 people per cruise. So, it is sailing at a reported 150% capacity, but in reality it is 95% full.
So "capacity" at 103% hardly means the ship is "full" at all. Depending on how many kids are onboard as 3rds & 4ths, the ship could be over 100% capacity and still have a hundred empty cabins.
Most cruise corps. (Carnival Corp, Royal Caribbean Intl.) report average capacity of 103% in the quarterly reports to Wall St. - but that can still mean several empty staterooms per ship per cruise. Or not. Some ships carry very few children (Celebrity, Holland America, luxury lines). But I'm just saying, don't be thinking every sails full+ cruise after cruise just because the cruise lines report 103% capacity in a quarterly report, the method they use to calculate those figures do not bear that out.
very interesting. that all said, i was denied a booking during the holidays (even though they were advertising incentives, availability, and deals) b/c i wanted to take my grandson (2) and my teen (17) on the same cruise. we could have booked the 3 and 4 person cabins we wanted, they would not let us b/c they were over capacity for the kids.

we could have stuffed the rooms with 4 adults each but the deal breaker was the kids. the cruise line insisted it was over capacity for children and no more were allowed on the ship. what was even dumber, was i doubt the kids would have even been in the children's programs at all. but that is the reason they denied us the booking. </end rant> LOL!
so when you see the statistics up there, they are not really giving you the full picture for what the cruise line will allow on each sailing.
but back on topic, i would love to be able to decide to take a cruise a couple of days before sailing and get a wonderful, cheap deal.