Originally Posted by
SuperBuck27
My handicap system:
1. AA comes out of BK as a standalone company: 70%
2. AA comes out of BK and is acquired by TPG: 20%
3. AA comes out of BK and is acquired by TPG/US Airways: 10%
4. AA comes out of BK and is acquired by DL: 0%
SB
I'll lower Option 1 to 50 percent and add in at 10% AA is broken up with WN taking over leases for DFW and ORD and shifting their DAL and MDW operations there, UA/CO acquiring ORD international flying opportunities and perhaps the MIA hub operations, DL acquiring JFK and LAX opportunities.
I would give Option 4 a 10% chance with some assets going to a second buyer - perhaps a different execution of the scenario above.