FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - AA Ch 11 BK - Possible *A Implications?
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Old Nov 30, 2011 | 8:45 am
  #3  
Philosofaux
 
Join Date: Feb 2011
Programs: BAEC, A3 Blue (*A Silver), HHonors Gold
Posts: 55
Originally Posted by CloudsBelow
My prediciton : Think it's highly likely USAirways comes in, scoops up AA and leaves *A to join OW in the short term. AA will return some old MD80s and likely return some aging 757/767. Also think WS will join OW not long after

Most of the board has a real issue with US and not many redeem AP to fly US but for some, including me, adding the US network to AA and OW will make my decision to completely flip over to OW from *A a no-brainer!

Look into your crystal balls . . . Whad'ya got?
I doubt that US is in a strong enough position financially to straight acquire AMR; possibly a merger where shareholders split ownership in the new company.

WS joining OW is a different matter IMO; I think they would be a good partner network-wise but their lack of F or J, especially lack of F/J lounges, check-in etc, could make joining a "traditional" airline alliance problematic.

Originally Posted by The Lev
US did try to scoop up Delta when they went Ch 11, so I'd expect them to try the same trick this time. I can't imagine AA management being keen on the idea and they will undoubtedly do what they can to stay independent.
AA is definitely going to pushback.

My prediction: AMR (AA/MQ) is going to push hard (again) to lift restrictions on foreign ownership rules and try to merge with IAG (BA/IB); otherwise, survive as an independent in a stronger financial position. Likely to accelerate their move to jettison MQ and add more regional contractors.
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