Originally Posted by CPRich

Some say there's no risk. Some say it's one in a billion or more.

A terrorist is not going to plan an attack based on something that will happen one in a billion times.

The FAA will ban their use when it statistically projects to take down three flights a year.


Do you also not use seat belts in your car because there are only 40,000 deaths a year in 500 Billion passenger miles? If you made it safely does that prove that seatbelts are useless?

Do you drink and drive because the odds of being caught each time are less than 1 in 100? If you weren't caught does that prove that no one ever gets caught for DUI?


You violating the law by switching on those devices accounts for, what, 5 attempts at something that happens one in a billion attempts. You think that proves the point? Were you hoping to crash to prove you were wrong?

You may want to rethink your entire approach to probability, experiment design, cause-effect, etc.