Originally Posted by
MIKEM
The fact is if you have an upgradable Y fare now and want to use a SWU you have a 35% chance of clearing the one direct flight per day.
What data point do you have to make this statement?
Many people that I know have regularly cleared SFO-PVG. I myself sponsored 2 people with SWU at the end of 2010, supposed peak travel time for this route, and both cleared well in advance of departure (2 to 4 days in advance).