Originally Posted by
Karen2
I would say a 1K has a 50% chance which is unacceptably low. That was about what my husband (also 1K) and I experienced this year. Being a Million Miler, as my husband is, counts for nothing in the queue. That is also wrong. I do agree that UA won't give up the revenue to be fair about upgrades.
In 2010 I failed to clear a SWU only on 1 segment out of about 30 segs (10 SWUs).
Originally Posted by
MIKEM
SFO-PVG, PVG-SFO, SFO-HKG, HKG-SFO - 35% chance of a 1K clearing a SWU from Y to C. This is a consensus from a dozen 1K/GS that I talked to in route.
In 2010: 100% SWU clearance SFO-PVG; 50% SWU clearance SFO-HKG (one success, one failure, which is was the only one all year). The consensus is that SFO-HKG is tougher and there is even a thread on successes/failures on the route,