LOL, thanks, I suspected as much. I had hoped, though, a comparison of its mean value was floating around at FT.
My situation is a relatively minor point transaction, however, I like to get everything I can out of my HH stays. I have 2 nights at 25k per night coming up in February. I have 6 certs and 550k points (and will likely tack on another 100k by end of January). My instinct was to use points to book it (which I did). On second thought: A) the certs do expire somewhat quickly B) in that "expire" time I probably have only a 65% chance of a vacation at a pricier location......so, generally, using the certs first seems the safe play.