My mood is also a good indicator for the global markets. I have been in an exceptionally good mood lately, so I am forecasting a 2% rise in both indices by Oct 22nd. This is largely based on the quality of my breakfast.
I would say that
London Dude and I would have about the same chance of being proven right based on pure chance alone. It is all a big lottery anyways and anybody who claims he/she can find some logic behind it can possibly also explain Quantum Mechanics to me.
Mind you, I did pay for my entire sabbatical (and then some) by buying shares in early in 2009 and selling them by the end of that same year.
Watch this space on 22/10/10!