Originally Posted by GRB051111

I have a feeling that the # of 1K will be about the same - at least that might be the goal of introducing the Fall DEQM.

I think one important implications of having many 1K lites as oppose to the real 1Ks is that the lite folks may have flying pattern that limits them to ~60-70k/year, not 100k+ BIS. That is, with the same number of 1K but a larger fraction of 1K lite, SWU should be easier to clear (because 1K lite simply fly less). Of course, capacity reduction is a competing process in the other direction, but this one can be quantified (unlike the # of 1Ks).

So my prediction is SWU upgrade should be easier in 2010 if there's no further capacity cuts.