Man, I'm with you there. I need at least two coffees before I can articulate in proper english.
Yes AC*SE, if it ever came to a majority vote to strike without the common employer decree, without a single union/association representing all the pilots and without the seniority issue settled and approved, the CAIL guys/gals will legally be obligated to keep flying on their own metal. So will all the regionals.
Again the media stretched the truth a bit for the sake of shock value. No way will a strike hit "as early as June 15". That is the legal time frame but it will not be met in this case. You have to call for a strike vote to initiate strike action and there is no sign of that happening in the near future but then I'm not privy to any inside info. Just pilot talk.
The majority of the pilots realize the timing is horrid. They are very aware that their image and the image of AC doesn't need further condemnation from the public, the government would most likely legislate them back to work as an essential service (and would never forgive having their summer recess interrupted) and the employees from all camps definitely do not want to see a "divide and conquer" situation develop that would reopen the wounds that are just starting to heal from the past rivalry.
I too feel and hope that it is just posturing. The alternative would be too damaging.