Ok, yes its true that predicting OpUps is like trying to predict the outcome of tomorrow nights game.
Take a look at EK 418 & EK 372, whats the probability of getting an OpUp from J->F or Y->J on those.
Yes accurately predicting OpUps would be impossible without knowing the exact number of Golds, Silvers & Blues on the plane and their Tier Status, to determine the pecking order. Information thats not available to the public.
How do you try to predict Opups?