For me, I've had no trouble making Silver, but only twice (in high-travel years) have I made Gold. This year, I expect to make Gold without worry.

I did take a weekend trip IAH-YVR--I had intended to go somewhere that weekend just for a getaway, but the DEQM made me spend a few hours figuring out where I go that was the furthest distance for a decent fare.

I wish I could find the article, but I know I read one where AA said that even with their DEQM offer, they expected fewer elites overall next year.