Originally Posted by
Hagbard Viking
My experience is that this kind of threads (asking when/if/why upgrades will/won't clear on some route) pop up almost daily even though the replies are always more or less the same, i.e., the upgrade may or may not clear, no-one can really tell when/if/why, seat maps are not a good indicator of availability, etc...
+1
There are presently many threads with the same topic; some related to time, others to flight path, with relation to connecting traffic etc. etc
Answer to OP: check how many EXP are ahead of You on WL. Three or less: good chance You clear. Have a drink, read a good book, and wait to do the BP exchange