I think Northwest is in a particularly difficult position on this, as everyone expects it to go along with CO and DL and that recent round of moves that are running people off. UA and AA will likely get the vast majority, and NW will miss the boat because of the alliance, even if NW doesn't change its program as drastically. But it won't comp CO and DL elites, and even those considering earning status anew on NW have to be given pause by the uncertainty.