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Old Dec 9, 2008 | 8:06 pm
  #5  
WR Cage
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20 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: YYC
Programs: AC Basic, UA MP Gold, Marriott Gold Elite, SPG Gold, Amex Platinum
Posts: 3,012
Originally Posted by Gajan
I wonder how they are going to manage with the competition from LH, BA, AC with their flights to EU.

There are lots of changes happening with YYC TransAt market right now.
- LH is switching from the 333 to 343 and will no longer have F. J class is about similar and there is an increase in Y. AC has also upguaged their FRA service from 763 to 333.
- The biggest decrease in service comes from BA, which transfers from 4 class 772 to a 3 class (no F) 763.
- AC also removed two flights per week from YYC-LHR to YEG-LHR giving their LHR run 12 weekly frequencies with 7 333s and 5 763s.

Overall here is how the YYC TransAt market breaks down for seats:
Code:
YYC Transatlantic service - Summer 08						Weekly Seats			
				F	J	Y	Total	
AC	333	LHR	daily	 -   	 259 	 1,596 	 1,855 	
AC	763	LHR	5 wkly	 -   	 120 	 935 	 1,055 	
AC	333	FRA	daily	 -   	 259 	 1,596 	 1,855 	
AC Total				 -   	 638 	 4,127 	 4,765 	
BA	763	LHR	daily	 -   	 168 	 1,176 	 1,344 	
LH	343	FRA	daily	 -   	 308 	 1,554 	 1,862 	
KL	332	AMS	5 wkly	 -   	 150 	 1,105 	 1,255 	
			              -   	 1,264 	 7,962 	 9,226 	
									
YYC Transatlantic service - Summer 07									
				F	J	Y	Total	
AC	333	LHR	daily	 -   	 294 	 1,596 	 1,890 	
AC	763	LHR	daily	 -   	 120 	 935 	 1,055 	
AC	763	FRA	daily	 -   	 168 	 1,309 	 1,477 	
AC Total				 -   	 582 	 3,840 	 4,422 	
BA	772	LHR	daily	 98 	 336 	 1,169 	 1,603 	
LH	333	FRA	daily	 56 	 336 	 1,155 	 1,547 	
KL	332	AMS	none	 -   	 -   	 -   	 -   	
			            154 	 1,254 	 6,164 	 7,572 	
									
Seat difference			 (154)	 10 	 1,798 	 1,654
From the above analysis there is a significant drop off for F/J premium seats but a significant larger Y cabin. The challenge for the comming summer schedule will be to fill the Y cabin rather than F/J cabins. This does not make it likely for additional J reward seats.

What this new flight option does allow for is Delta to come in with additional capacity on SLC-YYC, this would allow one stop service to AMS using a combined KL and DL flights. This option is allowed under the US, Canada, and EU bilaterals.
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