.....Here is my thinking as of this morning: I agree wholeheartedly with the National Hurricane Center and am thinking that Ike will come ashore somewhere between San Antonio Bay and Galveston early Saturday morning around 5 am Eastern/4 am Central. This area is centered right on Matagorda and Brazoria Counties. I anticipate Ike to make landfall as a borderline Category 3-Category 4 hurricane with winds of 130 to 140 mph. The forecast track of Ike is still somewhat uncertain and all interests along the entire Texas coast into southwestern Louisiana should be preparing for a major hurricane landfall. Ike is also expected to be a very large storm in overall size and its effects will be felt all over the Gulf of Mexico....

Maximum surge forecast:
Shoreline of Matagorda Bay: 15 to 20 feet.
Coastal areas from Matagorda to High Island, including the shores of Galveston Bay: 12 to 16 feet