Does anybody know how solvent United is?

 
Old Aug 21, 2008, 9:01 am
  #1  
Original Poster
 
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: IL USA
Programs: UA 1.55MM Lifetime Premier Gold, AA Exec. Plt., NW MM(875K on DL), MC Gold, HH Diamond, SPG, HY GP
Posts: 205
Does anybody know how solvent United is?

The latest on the TATL charges/BOB for C domestically/price increases for BOB has me wondering how much longer United has left. I contacted PW (Customer Relations) earlier today about something else. I had made a comment, and the agent told me two things that added to the concern. 1. Southwest hedged its fuel, and we didn't. (True) 2. All airlines are charging for everything. (False) United has had a keep your head in the sand, and the problem will go away culture for a long time. Now the problem might be that United will go away.
JoeTravel is offline  
Old Aug 21, 2008, 9:06 am
  #2  
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: MBS/FNT/LAN
Programs: UA 1K, HH Gold, Mariott Gold
Posts: 9,630
Originally Posted by JoeTravel
The latest on the TATL charges/BOB for C domestically/price increases for BOB has me wondering how much longer United has left. I contacted PW (Customer Relations) earlier today about something else. I had made a comment, and the agent told me two things that added to the concern. 1. Southwest hedged its fuel, and we didn't. (True) 2. All airlines are charging for everything. (False) United has had a keep your head in the sand, and the problem will go away culture for a long time. Now the problem might be that United will go away.

Reasonably solvent... they still have a bunch of cash on hand, and a whole bunch of unencumbered aircraft (plus a pretty big windfall from the new Chase deal).

1. Yes WN hedged (and while back it was an EXCELLENT move) However, it should be noted that thier route expansion will eat into the hedges. Also oil is now around 115 (ish)... how much did they hedge at 138 ?

2. It isn't that they are charging for everything... they have always charged for the items, just now they are seperate line items.
jhayes_1780 is offline  
Old Aug 21, 2008, 9:36 am
  #3  
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Chicago
Programs: UGS/1K, UA MM flyer, Marriott Silver, Hilton Gold
Posts: 215
Originally Posted by jhayes_1780
Reasonably solvent... they still have a bunch of cash on hand, and a whole bunch of unencumbered aircraft (plus a pretty big windfall from the new Chase deal).

1. Yes WN hedged (and while back it was an EXCELLENT move) However, it should be noted that thier route expansion will eat into the hedges. Also oil is now around 115 (ish)... how much did they hedge at 138 ?
Yes, WN is well hedged, and workers all happy, etc. However, WN has one of the highest labor cost structures around. While we all wish the best for everyone, it will be quite interesting to see how WN operates with this given cost structure when the hedges run out (as they will around 2011, when WN will be hedged in fuel at around 15%).

Keep in mind, all these moves UA is making on BOB for trans-Atlantic flights in in direct response to the demands of "us," the paying passengers of United Airlines. UA does not "want" to make these moves. However, they must do something, as the marketplace (that would be us passengers) have shown time and again we are hyper sensitive to ticket prices. The meals we ate in Y did not appear by magic.
ORD2World is offline  
Old Aug 21, 2008, 12:04 pm
  #4  
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Houston
Programs: Too much flying; Lots of hotels
Posts: 555
UAL is about the middle of the pack among network carriers for cash on hand, but is only beaten out by AMR for level of debt (AMR does have about twice as much cash). If they go into bankruptcy this time it will be Chapter 7 since no lender is going there in the current environment, and even if a lender was willing to lend them money the lender may not be able to raise the cash. Plenty of folks waiting for the chance to pick at UA's rotting carcass though.

Say hello to Pan Am, Eastern, and TWA, all formerly dominant carriers.
bordeauxboy is offline  
Old Aug 21, 2008, 12:14 pm
  #5  
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Chicago
Programs: UGS/1K, UA MM flyer, Marriott Silver, Hilton Gold
Posts: 215
Agree with bordeauxboy above.

But the key thing here, and what everyone is missing as they lament the passing of Y meals (that they paid for anyhow in higher ticket prices), is that UA has leadership that recognizes the threat of Chap 7, and is actually taking action to prevent this (BOB on trans-Atlantic flights, etc.). One may not agree with the leadership's actions, but something proactive is being done.

Pam Am, Eastern etc. were living in the past, regulated world of international air travel, mired in terrible labor/management fights, etc.

WN's fuel hedges are discussed endlessly. A very smart and lucky move on their part, and one UA was simply not allowed to pursue under the rules of Chap 11.
ORD2World is offline  
Old Aug 21, 2008, 12:17 pm
  #6  
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Programs: United 1K GS, USAIR, Delta
Posts: 175
This ran in todays issues of USAToday. Basic numbers for the big players

http://www.usatoday.com/travel/fligh...ng-power_N.htm
jhcapps3 is offline  
Old Aug 21, 2008, 12:40 pm
  #7  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Under the Liberty Visual to 27L at PHL. Stranger in a strange land - a Devils fan in Flyers country.
Programs: PWP Le Chancelier des Clefs d'Or || Sarcasm, Anti-Stupidity, Obscure References top tier member.
Posts: 24,061
This can't be taken seriously as long as it says that US has an "Updated, fuel-efficient fleet". That line, if anywhere, belongs under CO's listing.
ConciergeMike is offline  
Old Aug 21, 2008, 12:51 pm
  #8  
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 1,686
Originally Posted by ConciergeMike
This can't be taken seriously as long as it says that US has an "Updated, fuel-efficient fleet". That line, if anywhere, belongs under CO's listing.
US is on their way to a modern all Airbus fleet. Can't say much for the rest of the airline, but they've been pretty proactive in this arena.
SFOtoORD is offline  

Thread Tools
Search this Thread

Contact Us - Manage Preferences - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.