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-   -   Enough of the United Doom-Sayers (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/united-mileage-plus-pre-merger/431419-enough-united-doom-sayers.html)

formeraa May 10, 2005 11:14 pm


Originally Posted by Liam0s
Note: This is not a personal attack, just Unions tend to get me fired up :P

Chaos just doesn't make any sense. Do they realise that if they do that they're going to bring about the collapse of their organisation that they're allegedly trying to improve? And isn't the word going around that if they do walk out on their jobs then don't come back?

It's better for a business to run at a loss in the short run with a plan to pick up in the long run, than to just cease operating. Same goes for employees, it's better to have a job with crap pay than it is to have no jobs. What do they think they'll do when they have no jobs?

And it's not like striking is going to make management change their decisions anyway. You strike to influence impending decisions, not to whinge about ones already made. Take for example the University students protesting the HECS increases last year. They lobbied and protested and did all they could to stop the Government from deregulating fees, the Government did it anyway, and no more was heard about it. Why? Sure, they're still not happy with the outcome but there's nothing that can be done about it.

Then, get into the minds of the UA workers. You've got those who say "I'm loyal to UA, so I'm going to strike to make it better". If you're loyal to UA, it's unfortunate but you're just going to have to put up with it until your business comes out of bankruptcy. You've then got those people who think "It's just a job", well, you strike and the odds are against you of keeping that job. Then there are those who reckon they could just as easily get a job with someone else, then get the hell out and go and take that job! What United needs is a loyal workforce who's going to stand by them thick and thin, and I know it's easy to say as it's not my pay or my retirement that's being cut, I do acknowledge how unbelievably awful that must be, but... it's just necessary. Would you rather UA just stopped trying? Then you're out of a job and a future anyway! This way, you still have a job and a retirement fund, but it's just less. Isn't less better than none?

But the government would have still picked up the retirement fund even if UA had failied. As for jobs, it may take a while but you can find another job. I am a proponent of a maximum of 1 year in bankruptcy. That's it and, if you can't find funding, then you must liquidate.

jcs17 May 10, 2005 11:31 pm

I'm not a doom sayer, I'm still guardedly optimistic that CHAOS won't happen, but if it does, the hour they declare it, I'm running off to NW. Lets face it, CHAOS would be the employees getting the last laugh in against management before falling on their sword. I'm not going to stand by sitting on my miles and elite membership (albeit, Premier) while UA self-destructs for a week or so before ceasing operations completely. If it comes to CHAOS, I'm just looking to save what I have left before every other Joe Elite does the same a couple weeks later. I might be comped, I might not be, but it's worth a shot. I like UA a lot, their employees are second to none, but doing what I can the hour CHAOS hits is better than standing on the deck of the sinking Titanic.

flyertalker00151 May 10, 2005 11:41 pm

In the words of Chancellor Palpatine in Episode II: "Do you really think it will come to war?"

I'd like to quote SEA_Tigger from another thread which has a really good point to it:
"Where were the strikes when UA laid off tens of thousands?

Where were the strikes when UA handed over more and more mainline routes to United Express which, unlike TED, does have different payscales and workrules (even if the UAX employees are still union members).

Where were the strikes when UA closed overseas locations (AKL? Some in South America?) that were covered by the union agreements?

Where were the strikes when UA last went for $2.5 billion in wage cuts?

Nowhere.

...

"To think they will now strike over something has pointless as the pension plan—something that they at least still get to keep, which is more then what many of US' employees got in their last trip through C11 and more then what the other legacy carrier's employees will probably get as PBGC implodes under the weight—is just "chicken littleing"."

I really don't think I need to say anything more - other than that if they didn't strike over such life-changing decisions like that, what makes the pension scheme, as SEA_Tigger says which they get to at least keep in one form or another (compared to those who completely lost their jobs), it doesn't make a whole lot of sense.

"Difficult to see, the future is..."

Jacque May 10, 2005 11:57 pm


Originally Posted by Liam0s
In the words of Chancellor Palpatine in Episode II: "Do you really think it will come to war?"

I'd like to quote SEA_Tigger from another thread which has a really good point to it:
"Where were the strikes when UA laid off tens of thousands?

Where were the strikes when UA handed over more and more mainline routes to United Express which, unlike TED, does have different payscales and workrules (even if the UAX employees are still union members).

Where were the strikes when UA closed overseas locations (AKL? Some in South America?) that were covered by the union agreements?

Where were the strikes when UA last went for $2.5 billion in wage cuts?

Nowhere.

The IAM can't strike unless UAL gets the contracts tossed.

flyertalker00151 May 11, 2005 12:01 am

Exaaaaaaactly - Homer, A Star is Burns

UALboy May 11, 2005 12:16 am

I think people are just getting nervous because when the whole CHAOS/strike talk started, we all think that it is not going to happen. But, when enough people talk about it, we all think that it is going to be for real and UA is going for good. But, I still hope that all these union talk is not going to be put to action. The truth is that I don't really know which airline to devote my loyalty to if UA goes away. I fly to HKG and LHR quite a bit and UA is the best in terms of convenience and service.

I am rooting for UA to survive. So, it is ENOUGH of all the United doom-sayers!

DreamlinerI May 11, 2005 5:09 am

I agree that the end must not be near....the other day I heard to UA TED FA's talking about how passengers were going to start getting full cans of Pepsi on TED....they did not think there would be a strike over this work issue either... :D

yyzprincess May 11, 2005 5:31 am


Originally Posted by UALboy

I am rooting for UA to survive. So, it is ENOUGH of all the United doom-sayers!

Ditto

aaupgrade May 11, 2005 5:37 am


Originally Posted by magiciansampras
Look at the profiles. A lot of them are AAnoying AA flyers :).

Yes I am one of those annoying AA flyers. I am also an annoying UA flyer. And if I flew 100K a year I would be an annoying UA loyalist. But since I live near IAD and only fly ~50K per year which doesn’t get me upgrades on UA, I choose to fly AA where I almost always get upgrades. It also has something to do with my frequent flights to the Caribbean. Yes the metal is not as nice on AA in most cases, but sometimes better (HNL service), and both airlines have there plusses and minuses from a service standpoint. Both have been operating in different worlds. UA has had the benefit of BK protection which has allowed it to forego some cuts in service. AA has stayed out of BK, which means it has had to cut come services (blankets/pillows to name two) and come up with ways to creatively generate additional cash, like the $250 Int upgrade co-pay. Do I like either method? No, but that is the way things work. Time will tell as to which tactic works in the long run. AA may well jump on the BK band wagon too after the success UA has had in shirking its responsibilities.

I have about 200K miles and plan to fly UA a couple times this year, so I am not a doom sayer.

What will happen to UA will happen to UA. They bring this stuff on themselves. Yes, it is like a car wreck, and all of us are on the sidelines watching because UA’s demise or success affects each and every one of us in some way. If UA fails, then getting upgrades on AA will be tougher than ever. The UA loyalists that fly UA because they like the comfort of BC/FC, and regularly upgrade, sure as heck are not going to switch to B6 or WN. They will come to CO, DL or AA; and IMHO CO and AA are the only two viable choices there.

BTW, when is UA going to come up with a BK exit plan? I know it has only been 2.5 years so we need to give them more time. Why do we coddle these billion dollar debtors and then pass BK laws to punish those who are struggling on a day to day basis. Oh yes, both fall under the concept of “leave no billionaire behind”. The hypocrisy of it all amazes me. Oh, and who is going to pick up the 28 Billion dollar debt of the PBGC? All this being orchestrated by a government that goes in debt to the tune of almost half a Trillion dollars a year. Now, I am real confident (NOT) that these UA corporate executives, our courts, and our government know what they are doing. BK is capitalisms answer to socialism IMO.

Regards,
A US Tax Payer

troyintn May 11, 2005 7:20 am


Originally Posted by Flybride
um...excuse me? When UA filed for Chapter 11 - they said they would be coming out of bankruptcy in 6 months, which would have been the summer of 2002. Then I heard fall, etc. Looks like they have been pulling dates out of a hat since they filed!

As far as what do they have to gain by lying? Maybe keeping customers? I don't think I would call it lying. I would call it wishful thinking out loud on their part.

Is a business plan in place or been accepeted by the court yet? I don't think so.

I just want this to end one way or the other. At this point all I hear is talk of UA or Usair and what will or could happen. I mostly fly NW, but the early in the year was going to PHL every week could not fly usair with all the talk, so I had to conect. Now I am going back to ORD and will not fly UA, for the same reasons. At least I can fly AA to ORD.

NYCFFlyer May 11, 2005 7:51 am


Originally Posted by Liam0s
Where were the strikes when UA handed over more and more mainline routes to United Express which, unlike TED, does have different payscales and workrules (even if the UAX employees are still union members).

Where were the strikes when UA closed overseas locations (AKL? Some in South America?) that were covered by the union agreements?

Where were the strikes when UA last went for $2.5 billion in wage cuts?

Nowhere.

You don't need an actual strike to end the airline. While an actual act of a strike will kill an airline in a few days, constant talks and threats of strikes and the ensuing bad publicity will slowly kill an airline. It's a kind of positive feedback reaction that you do not want to have. Management makes cuts -> employees talk of a strike -> some customers get concerned and flee -> reduce revenue -> high financing costs -> management has to demand more cuts -> more talks of strikes etc. etc.

Many of us in my office have flown PS and love it. But we are not allowed on UA planes because travel department deems the airline "too risky". Why take the risk when you do not have to. UA fares are not any cheaper. From a company's perspective, these are risks they are not compensated for. Many more companies will do the same if CHAOS is initiated. As I am typing this, I read that the judge had approved the pension deal. The ball is now in AFA court to see if they are going to go CHAOS. CHAOS will not kill UA right away, but it will be the beginning of a long dying process because things could only get worse from there.

SEA_Tigger May 11, 2005 8:04 am

Well the lead story on CBS news radio for the past 12 hours has been UA dumping their plans and their unions in an uproar - especially now that UA wants even more cuts - so NYCFFlyer and Markie are correct in noting that a lot of people are now going to be very fearful and start booking away from UA.

So it may very well be a self-fullfilling prophecy down the road.

I still plan to head to GSO tomorrow night, and just assume I'll be coming home sometime on Sunday. ;)

ChgoBob May 11, 2005 9:42 am


Originally Posted by Markie
The news of the courts agreement has been the lead story on the BBC World Service Business Section this morning. This is hardly going to encourage people to fly United.

This may be having an effect already, or UA is doing some pre-emptive marketing. I've seen some fare drops today on some routes that rarely have "sales" during the summer. (i.e. ORD-RNO/Tahoe)

NYCFFlyer May 11, 2005 10:02 am


Originally Posted by SEA_Tigger
Well the lead story on CBS news radio for the past 12 hours has been UA dumping their plans and their unions in an uproar - especially now that UA wants even more cuts - so NYCFFlyer and Markie are correct in noting that a lot of people are now going to be very fearful and start booking away from UA.

So it may very well be a self-fullfilling prophecy down the road.

I still plan to head to GSO tomorrow night, and just assume I'll be coming home sometime on Sunday. ;)

Sunday should be fine. Even with CHAOS, you have to be really unlucky to be affected. I am flying NYC-SIN next week and I think the outbound should be ok, but anything could happen by the time I am due to fly back on Memorial Day. The way I think about it, there are way worse thing that could happen in life than getting stucked in South East Asia. :D

Happy flying everyone....hopefully on UA. :D


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