Go Back  FlyerTalk Forums > Miles&Points > Airlines and Mileage Programs > United Airlines | MileagePlus
Reload this Page >

What is the future of Hong Kong in the United’s Asia Route Network? Alternatives?

Community
Wiki Posts
Search

What is the future of Hong Kong in the United’s Asia Route Network? Alternatives?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Aug 29, 2022, 12:41 am
  #151  
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Programs: SQ, QF, UA, CO, DL
Posts: 2,882
Originally Posted by moondog
To be clear, my mid-October prediction pertains mostly to the Zhongnanhai meeting (not to United flying nonstop to China or Hong Kong).
Yeah, I got your meaning! I don't have anywhere near the same confidence that you have but in my heart I hope you are right!

And now back to regularly scheduled programming, for UA HKG will be 1-2 X daily when things settle down, SFO and then maybe EWR or ORD. The world has changed and moved on.

Anyone noticed how much India flying UA has been picking up? During the peak of pandemic 5X daily to India? And that's passenger flights, not cargo. I think India may end up with a lot of UA's former China/HKG capacity.

Last edited by WineCountryUA; Aug 29, 2022 at 10:13 am Reason: quote updated to reflect Moderator edit
uanj is offline  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 12:44 am
  #152  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Programs: DL, OZ, AC, AS, AA, BA, Hilton, Hyatt, Marriott, IHG
Posts: 19,896
Originally Posted by uanj
Yeah, I got your meaning! I don't have anywhere near the same confidence that you have but in my heart I hope you are right!

And now back to regularly scheduled programming, for UA HKG will be 1-2 X daily when things settle down, SFO and then maybe EWR or ORD. The world has changed and moved on.

Anyone noticed how much India flying UA has been picking up? During the peak of pandemic 5X daily to India? And that's passenger flights, not cargo. I think India may end up with a lot of UA's former China/HKG capacity.
It has to be EWR before ORD, right?
lsquare is online now  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 12:56 am
  #153  
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
 
Join Date: Aug 2003
Programs: UA 1K 1MM (finally!), IHG AMB-Spire, HH Diamond
Posts: 60,168
Originally Posted by uanj
And now back to regularly scheduled programming, for UA HKG will be 1-2 X daily when things settle down, SFO and then maybe EWR or ORD. The world has changed and moved on.

Anyone noticed how much India flying UA has been picking up? During the peak of pandemic 5X daily to India? And that's passenger flights, not cargo. I think India may end up with a lot of UA's former China/HKG capacity.
But for the Russian airspace issue UA would have SFO-DEL and perhaps BLR up and running too. Still want HKG back ASAP though too!
uanj, lsquare and oopl like this.
uastarflyer is offline  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 1:04 am
  #154  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Posts: 10,220
Originally Posted by moondog
To be clear, my mid-October prediction pertains mostly to the Zhongnanhai meeting (not to United flying nonstop to China or Hong Kong).
HK will support 1 UA flight a day at most going forward. Guam isn't getting a N/S from the continental USA. UA will continue to serve China thru PVG only for the foreseeable future.

With all that doom and gloom I posited above, I do think there are some rays of hope and UA will offer a N/S flight from SFO to SGN or BKK sometime in the next year or two.

Last edited by WineCountryUA; Aug 29, 2022 at 10:14 am Reason: Stick to UA issue
travelinmanS is online now  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 1:36 am
  #155  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Mar 2010
Programs: DL, OZ, AC, AS, AA, BA, Hilton, Hyatt, Marriott, IHG
Posts: 19,896
Originally Posted by travelinmanS
HK will support 1 UA flight a day at most going forward. Guam isn't getting a N/S from the continental USA. UA will continue to serve China thru PVG only for the foreseeable future.

With all that doom and gloom I posited above, I do think there are some rays of hope and UA will offer a N/S flight from SFO to SGN or BKK sometime in the next year or two.
AC will operate a seasonal YVR-BKK route.

Last edited by WineCountryUA; Aug 29, 2022 at 10:15 am Reason: quote updated to reflect Moderator edit
lsquare is online now  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 3:48 am
  #156  
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Houston
Programs: UA LT GS 4.2 MM, AA Gold 1MM, HH Lifetime Diamond, Marriott Lifetime Gold
Posts: 394
Originally Posted by lsquare
It has to be EWR before ORD, right?
I think the Russian airspace issue will make the return of EWR challenging
IAHMCI is offline  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 3:59 am
  #157  
 
Join Date: May 2007
Programs: UA 1K, Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 5,447
Originally Posted by IAHMCI
I think the Russian airspace issue will make the return of EWR challenging
CX has made JFK-HKG work with a mix of 77Ws, A359s, and A351s. UA should be able to make EWR-HKG work with 77Ws or 789s, if they want to fly it.
SPN Lifer, phranticaw and lsquare like this.
dkc192 is offline  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 4:22 am
  #158  
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
 
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Shanghai
Posts: 42,009
Originally Posted by travelinmanS
HK will support 1 UA flight a day at most going forward. Guam isn't getting a N/S from the continental USA. UA will continue to serve China thru PVG only for the foreseeable future.

With all that doom and gloom I posited above, I do think there are some rays of hope and UA will offer a N/S flight from SFO to SGN or BKK sometime in the next year or two.
Assuming they get 7 new slots at a time, my money is on (in order of priority)
-make 857/858 daily (only 3 days short now)
-EWR-PVG
-SFO-PEK
-ORD-PEK
-ORD-PVG
-EWR-PEK
-maybe CTU, HGK, or XIY (apparently these cities don't fall under the bilateral)
(I'm not sure they have enough airplanes to do all of that, but even half would be a vast improvement.)

HKG is a completely separate issue. TMK, they could restart SFO-HKG any time. I just can't imagine many people would fly it if there was a crew change. Remember, unlike SFO-PVG, there are nonstop options.

Last edited by WineCountryUA; Aug 29, 2022 at 10:16 am Reason: quote updated to reflect Moderator edit
moondog is online now  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 5:26 am
  #159  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Apr 2003
Programs: UA*Lifetime GS, Hyatt* Lifetime Globalist
Posts: 12,322
Originally Posted by tcdtcd
At one point, and for several years, ORD-HKG was 2x daily, initially both 744, then one each 747/777, then both 777. Same with NRT.
Can’t remember when it went to 1x daily (2010?)
I don't know about 2XORD-HKG were running over several years. IIRC, the second flight was added as a response to CX starting the HKG-ORD flight hoping to drive CX our of the HKG-ORD market.

Perhaps our resident expert ORDnHKGhas more accurate information than I have,

Last edited by UA_Flyer; Aug 29, 2022 at 12:45 pm
UA_Flyer is offline  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 10:32 am
  #160  
Moderator: United Airlines
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Plat 1.995MM, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Plat/LT Gold, Hilton Silver, IHG Plat
Posts: 66,821
Originally Posted by dkc192
CX has made JFK-HKG work with a mix of 77Ws, A359s, and A351s. UA should be able to make EWR-HKG work with 77Ws or 789s, if they want to fly it.
the A359, A351 has longer range than 77W or 789s. 77W would have to have very favorable flight conditions to make a over 17 hour flight that CX is operating and you still have the crew quarantine issue
WineCountryUA is offline  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 10:38 am
  #161  
Moderator: United Airlines
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Plat 1.995MM, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Plat/LT Gold, Hilton Silver, IHG Plat
Posts: 66,821
Recent post have made comments on China's leadership and COVID policy. While they obviously impact the ability of carriers to fly to China, let's not tread in OMNI/ PR land with non-UA related speculation or comments that are better elsewhere. Inappropriate discussion for this forum has been removed.

WIneCountryUA
UA coModerator
WineCountryUA is offline  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 11:10 am
  #162  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,386
Originally Posted by WineCountryUA
the A359, A351 has longer range than 77W or 789s. 77W would have to have very favorable flight conditions to make a over 17 hour flight that CX is operating and you still have the crew quarantine issue
An EWR-HKG route that avoids Russian airspace is about 8700 mi (vs. 8065 nonstop). That's about the same length as LAX-SIN, so the 789 has the legs for it, but it may require blocking some seats or a fuel stop in Anchorage when the winds are strong.

I wonder if CX is simply transiting Russian airspace.
oopl likes this.
jsloan is online now  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 11:27 am
  #163  
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
 
Join Date: Aug 2003
Programs: UA 1K 1MM (finally!), IHG AMB-Spire, HH Diamond
Posts: 60,168
Pretty sure US based airlines are avoiding use of Russian airspace (v say AI which does run SFO-DEL).

That would suggest SFO-HKG as the first and perhaps only option for some time, if and when UA resumes to HKG.

With so many China routes limited or simply canceled, where are those aircraft flying? Should UA press harder on alternative endpoint additions to the network? I’d welcome it.
lsquare and oopl like this.
uastarflyer is offline  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 11:38 am
  #164  
Moderator: United Airlines
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Plat 1.995MM, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Plat/LT Gold, Hilton Silver, IHG Plat
Posts: 66,821
Originally Posted by jsloan
An EWR-HKG route that avoids Russian airspace is about 8700 mi (vs. 8065 nonstop). That's about the same length as LAX-SIN, so the 789 has the legs for it, but it may require blocking some seats or a fuel stop in Anchorage when the winds are strong.
Recent UA1 SFO-SIN are well under 16:30, most under 16:00

Recent CX841 EWR-HKG are 17 hours plus, some over 17:30 -- at least an extra hour of flight time on most days. Even in June there were 17 hour trips

Outside the range of reliability year round UA aircraft operation


Originally Posted by jsloan
.... I wonder if CX is simply transiting Russian airspace.
does not appear so, but close
WineCountryUA is offline  
Old Aug 29, 2022, 11:38 am
  #165  
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Programs: UA 1K, Hilton ♦ , Hyatt Carbonado, Wyndham ♦, Marriott PE, "Stinking Bum" elsewhere.
Posts: 4,993
Originally Posted by uastarflyer
Pretty sure US based airlines are avoiding use of Russian airspace (v say AI which does run SFO-DEL).
Yes they are. Both my NRT flights in the last month remained at least 200 miles off the Russian coast even though both flights had the flight path on the map screen well within Russian borders as the flight started.
zombietooth is offline  


Contact Us - Manage Preferences - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.