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GS Qualifying for 2020 Discussion / Questions

Old Aug 3, 2019, 1:19 pm
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Last edit by: WineCountryUA

GS Qualifying for 2020 Discussion


This will be a discussion thread, for discussing the needed qualifications and timing of notification.
2019 GS Timeline:
  • First requalification notifications came out on 6 Dec 2018
  • First-time notifications started about 3 Jan 2019
  • Numerous reports that all regular notifications will be out by 11 Jan 2019
  • Initial successful reconsideration appeals reported 15 Jan 2019
  • First reports of challanges15 Jan 2019
For discussion of GS benefits, please use Consolidated Global Services Thread: Benefits, Questions 2019

If you have received notification about your 2020 GS status, please post in
Global Services 2020 Notifications (ONLY) -- "no discussion" (and as title suggests, this is just for notifications, use this thread for discussions / queries
and
Originally Posted by jp12687
Form Link to collect this years qualification (or rejection) information

https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...rm?usp=sf_link

You can view the results: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

To find your PQDs if >than $12K
Go to
MileagePlus activity since my last statement and it is in the "Account summary" table at the top of the page.

Note this is not just the UA operated PQDs (which is commonly believed to be what matters for GS) but rather your total PQDs.

Definitions

BIS is actual scheduled flight distance (Great Circle Mileage Distance -- GCM) between airports with 500 mile minimum for elites. This is the standard used for Lifetime miles also. Those flying mostly sub-500 segments sometimes prefer to not use the minimum rule.

The definition for CPM is a bit vaguer, especially since CPM is used in multiple different situations.

Believe for the purpose of this thread, GS qualification, folks are using

PQD CPM = UA PQDs / UA BIS

Note there is no direct evidence UA uses this CPM number for GS Qualification but it is a number FTers like to use.

As for BIS, UA does not report this number your account and it needs to be manually tracked.

One way is to make use that PQMs are based on BIS but there may be a multiplier / bonus for high end fares. If always in 2x PQMs, you could divide by 2 to get BIS.
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GS Qualifying for 2019 Discussion / Questions
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GS Qualifying for 2020 Discussion / Questions

Old Dec 22, 2019, 1:10 pm
  #751  
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Cape Cod MA
Programs: GS, 3 MM, Hilton Diamond
Posts: 752
My stats are nearly identical to UA_Flyer's partner except I'm only at $53K and no invite this year.
nigos is offline  
Old Dec 22, 2019, 3:44 pm
  #752  
 
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Cleveland, OH
Programs: UA-GS 1MM), Hertz Pres Circle, Starriott Titanium)
Posts: 1,966
Originally Posted by In The 216
I've read through most of the discussion here. Thought I would throw my stats out as a data point and I am interested in the thoughts of the group. CLE-based.

2017
$19.5K
137K

2018
$21.4K
185K

2019
$48K
360K
If I recall my first year qualifying out of CLE was somewhere between 48k-52k. That was after multiple years of spending roughly the same but lots of partner flights. Once I figured out I had to fly only United Metal I made GS.
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LordHamster is offline  
Old Dec 22, 2019, 5:08 pm
  #753  
formerly FrequentFlyKid
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Cleveland, Ohio
Programs: United Global Services, Marriott Bonvoy Ambassador, National Executive Elite
Posts: 981
I am hoping this year is enough to qualify. All of my flights/spend have been on United metal. I am stuck with the million dollar question of whether or not to go on a PQD "run" to hit $50K.
In The 216 is offline  
Old Dec 22, 2019, 5:13 pm
  #754  
 
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 1,115
Originally Posted by In The 216
I am hoping this year is enough to qualify. All of my flights/spend have been on United metal. I am stuck with the million dollar question of whether or not to go on a PQD "run" to hit $50K.
current GS
about $800 short of $50k this year
nit taking extra time from home during the holidays chasing an imaginary number. If I go on a run to get $50k then don’t get it...I’m gonna be pissed off. Does $800 really make a difference? Who knows. I’m going to find out
jp12687 is offline  
Old Dec 22, 2019, 5:26 pm
  #755  
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Programs: DYKWIA, But I'm a "Diamond Guest" UA 1K/2MM
Posts: 2,250
Originally Posted by villox
Where the heck did this “trailing 3 year spend” thing come from? Is this another one of those fables we’ve come up with (like that it’s harder to qualify out of a hub) to convince ourselves we somehow understand UA’s decision making process?
I think it is just speculation, which has gotten repeated enough that people take it as gospel -- kind of like the "CPM" thing that everybody was touting a few years ago. The only difference is that there were many, many counter-examples that disproved the CPM thesis. I haven't seen too many that disprove the 3-year rolling window thesis -- it's just not clear whether the number is $100K of $120K or something else.
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porciuscato is online now  
Old Dec 22, 2019, 5:46 pm
  #756  
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: London
Programs: UA GS
Posts: 2,438
Originally Posted by porciuscato
I think it is just speculation, which has gotten repeated enough that people take it as gospel -- kind of like the "CPM" thing that everybody was touting a few years ago. The only difference is that there were many, many counter-examples that disproved the CPM thesis. I haven't seen too many that disprove the 3-year rolling window thesis -- it's just not clear whether the number is $100K of $120K or something else.
A new United flyer with $75k is going to get GS.

A loyal elite doing 33 33 33 isn’t going to get it.

It just doesn’t make much sense.
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Old Dec 22, 2019, 5:53 pm
  #757  
formerly FrequentFlyKid
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Cleveland, Ohio
Programs: United Global Services, Marriott Bonvoy Ambassador, National Executive Elite
Posts: 981
Originally Posted by jp12687
current GS
about $800 short of $50k this year
nit taking extra time from home during the holidays chasing an imaginary number. If I go on a run to get $50k then don’t get it...I’m gonna be pissed off. Does $800 really make a difference? Who knows. I’m going to find out
I think our situations are different with you being a current GS. I do get your point and that's what I am debating: is the time and spend worth it? If I do it and still don't make it, I would probably be very annoyed. Not sure it's worth that.
In The 216 is offline  
Old Dec 22, 2019, 5:58 pm
  #758  
 
Join Date: Dec 2019
Posts: 6
Originally Posted by In The 216
I think our situations are different with you being a current GS. I do get your point and that's what I am debating: is the time and spend worth it? If I do it and still don't make it, I would probably be very annoyed. Not sure it's worth that.
I’m in the same position as you. My wife and I have no problems with me taking a day to do an out and back, so there’s that.
henryn20 is offline  
Old Dec 22, 2019, 5:59 pm
  #759  
Moderator: United Airlines
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Plat 1.99MM, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Plat/LT Gold, Hilton Silver, IHG Plat
Posts: 66,731
Originally Posted by villox
A new United flyer with $75k is going to get GS.

A loyal elite doing 33 33 33 isn’t going to get it.

It just doesn’t make much sense.
Makes sense to me, as who is more likely to spend the most in the coming year. If I were UA, I would bet on the first flyer. Clearly not a certainty but seems a reasonable projection.

Always very likely the first flyer generated as much or more "profit" in one year as the 3-year flyer did over 3 years but consuming more resources.
WineCountryUA is offline  
Old Dec 22, 2019, 6:04 pm
  #760  
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: London
Programs: UA GS
Posts: 2,438
Originally Posted by WineCountryUA
Makes sense to me, as who is more likely to spend the most in the coming year. If I were UA, I would bet on the first flyer. Clearly not a certainty but seems a reasonable projection.

Always very likely the first flyer generated as much or more "profit" in one year as the 3-year flyer did over 3 years but consuming more resources.
I meant the “trailing three year of $100k” being a metric doesn’t make sense.
villox is offline  
Old Dec 22, 2019, 6:04 pm
  #761  
 
Join Date: Oct 2015
Location: SFO
Programs: UA GS 1MM / Hilton Diamond / Bonvoy Gold / Hertz PC
Posts: 395
Originally Posted by villox
A new United flyer with $75k is going to get GS.

A loyal elite doing 33 33 33 isn’t going to get it.

It just doesn’t make much sense.
I think it makes a lot of sense. One can guess that the consistent $33k flier is likely to do just that. The $75k flyer did over double that. While one can never guess if that will be repeat business, it’s absolutely worth it if they can put their best foot forward to keep that business. That flyer could do in two years what it would take the other flyer about half a decade.
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Old Dec 22, 2019, 6:23 pm
  #762  
Moderator: United Airlines
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Plat 1.99MM, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Plat/LT Gold, Hilton Silver, IHG Plat
Posts: 66,731
Originally Posted by villox
I meant the “trailing three year of $100k” being a metric doesn’t make sense.
There is no reason to believe there is just a single metric for GS.
Yes bigger single year spenders are a no brainer but a rising spend over multiple years should attract some visibility. Additionally, you want some hysteresis in the program to allow for year to year variations.

If we reshape your original example -- a first, single-year $50K vs $40K-$40K-$40K 3-year pattern, the later might make more sense to get the nod first or at least equal consideration.

Suspect the GS selection is not a one-dimensional process and a number of factors are consisted, of which one could be a trailing years spend.

UA is trying to select and reward those that UA hopes will have the most impact of UA's up coming year.
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WineCountryUA is offline  
Old Dec 22, 2019, 8:29 pm
  #763  
 
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Orange County, CA
Programs: United GS, MM, Hyatt Globalist, Hilton Diamond
Posts: 598
Originally Posted by jp12687
current GS
about $800 short of $50k this year
nit taking extra time from home during the holidays chasing an imaginary number. If I go on a run to get $50k then don’t get it...I’m gonna be pissed off. Does $800 really make a difference? Who knows. I’m going to find out
I’m $42 short of $50k. Previous years have always been right around 50 give or take a few thousand. I’m hoping to requal again. Took lots of vacations this year with award miles, but pretty much had flights every week of the year.

Last edited by Chukiechz; Dec 23, 2019 at 8:40 am
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Old Dec 22, 2019, 9:04 pm
  #764  
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Programs: DL Gold, UA nothing (ex-GS), Marriott lifetime Plat, Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 920
Originally Posted by HAudidoody
I don't think that's safe to assume at all. I was a first year GS at $42K last year. And I know someone else who was first year at even lower, under $40K.
Yeah I think it’s safe to say margin plays some role. $40k on B fares is way more likely to qualify than $40k on T fares.
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getagb is offline  
Old Dec 23, 2019, 5:44 am
  #765  
 
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: Somewhere in EWR
Programs: UA GS, HH Diamond
Posts: 858
Originally Posted by united 1k flyer
I think one 1k who did not get a GS invite with over 50k was sent a letter saying that multiple year spend matters a lot. Don’t know where the 100k number came from.
That was me and my letter was posted in the 2018 thread. They did indeed say they considered 'multiple years' and when we totaled my 16, 17 and 18 spend it was under $100k.
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AugustusM is offline  

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