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Should UA develop new hubs/focus cities?

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Old Jun 14, 2019, 8:32 am
  #136  
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Originally Posted by WineCountryUA
If you are referring to LAX, no airline has a 20% share -- LAX is interesting in there is no dominate share
4 carriers make up 60% and 10 carriers 85%

https://www.lawa.org/-/media/lawa-we...rier-2018.ashx
https://www.lawa.org/-/media/lawa-we...rrier2019.ashx
https://www.transtats.bts.gov/airports.asp?pn=1
True, but UA had upwards of 30% and has kept cutting back its flights and ultimately its dominant position by pushing more traffic through SFO instead of LAX both domestically and internationally and cutting the route network from LAX.

David
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Old Jun 14, 2019, 8:41 am
  #137  
 
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Originally Posted by DELee
True, but UA had upwards of 30% and has kept cutting back its flights and ultimately its dominant position by pushing more traffic through SFO instead of LAX both domestically and internationally and cutting the route network from LAX.

David
When was UA over 30% at LAX? Can’t be any more recent than the height of the .com bubble, with the full Shuttle capacity dump in effect.
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Old Jun 14, 2019, 8:56 am
  #138  
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Originally Posted by EWR764
When was UA over 30% at LAX? Can’t be any more recent than the height of the .com bubble, with the full Shuttle capacity dump in effect.
Looks like that's about right - I couldn't find market share vs. time data with a quick search, but did find some analysis of their number of seats out of LAX dropping by about 25% from 2006 to 2016.
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Old Jun 14, 2019, 10:02 am
  #139  
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Originally Posted by DELee
True, but UA had upwards of 30% and has kept cutting back its flights and ultimately its dominant position by pushing more traffic through SFO instead of LAX both domestically and internationally and cutting the route network from LAX.
Anybody can become the market share leader if they're willing to lose enough money to do it.
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Old Jun 14, 2019, 11:12 am
  #140  
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Originally Posted by fly18725

SFO is superior from every economic perspective to DTW. There are fewer delays and a nice airport in DTW, but it’s basically a RJ hub with international routes.

DTW has gone from about 64% RJ flights 5 years ago to around 56% this summer. While still the majority of flights, I wouldn't simply write it of as an "RJ" hub. Biggest change has been in the number of 50-seater RJ's. From 172 CR2/37 ER4 daily flights 5 years ago, to 86 CR2 daily flights this summer. Many upgrades from 50-seaters to larger RJ's and from larger RJ's to mainline. They walled-off 16 RJ gates at the end of concourse C due to all the 50-seat reductions.

Last edited by xliioper; Jun 14, 2019 at 6:04 pm
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Old Jun 14, 2019, 5:40 pm
  #141  
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Originally Posted by DELee
True, but UA had upwards of 30% ...
Must have been a long, long time ago
Per https://www.lawa.org/en/lawa-investo...are-statistics UA pre-merger plus CO pre-merge was about 17-18% in 2010 and held that into 2014 and a slow decline (as DL increased to bit more than UA) to today's numbers (LAX appear to roll the express carriers into the marketing carrier)
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Old Jun 14, 2019, 7:08 pm
  #142  
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Originally Posted by WineCountryUA
Must have been a long, long time ago
Per https://www.lawa.org/en/lawa-investo...are-statistics UA pre-merger plus CO pre-merge was about 17-18% in 2010 and held that into 2014 and a slow decline (as DL increased to bit more than UA) to today's numbers (LAX appear to roll the express carriers into the marketing carrier)
Did a quick search but IIRC, UA had numbers of over 25% around the 2000-ish era. jsloan may be correct that pmUA wasn't terribly healthy financially but their O&D flight options were certainly superior for those who were travelling out and in of LAX.

Now, not so much.

David
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Old Jun 14, 2019, 7:15 pm
  #143  
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Originally Posted by EWR764
T9 is earmarked for Star Alliance, with UA as the biggest user.
Excellent; thanks for the update. I am one of those that hopes United greatly expands its domestic and international network at LAX.
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Old Jun 14, 2019, 8:02 pm
  #144  
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Originally Posted by MIDWESTERNFLYER
You are confused because you joined this discussion mid-way through:

A poster named spin88 originally said: "UA has the best hub locations by far of the US3, in larger cities than its competitors"

I refuted that claim
Which is why I mentioned trades.

UA has had the best ones for decades, both in terms of biz centers as well as logical east West orientation. Which is why they all remain or get additional investment post merger. SLC, CVG, PIT, MEM, CLE, not so much.

Connecting existing dots more thoroughly I see as a better option than trying to grow a new focus city.


Last edited by WineCountryUA; Jun 14, 2019 at 8:11 pm Reason: Discuss the issues, not the poster(s)
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Old Jun 15, 2019, 7:17 am
  #145  
 
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No airline is going to try to make someone else's hub a new focus city. Scratch SLC and DTW off the list. They aren't likely to make a focus city out of a mid-size market where someone else has much better market share already. Scratch CVG (DL), MEM (DL), and PIT (AA) off the list. There probably isn't a good candidate in the southeast as DL and AA have far higher market shares there.

The only airlines that are working on focus cities are F9 (primarily) and NS and they're doing it with price, not with building loyalties. To a lesser extent, DL. Southwest of course does it's own thing and well. UA's narrow focus on building international traffic and the feeds for that have probably caused them to miss any opportunities to expand much in domestic markets other than their hubs. That said, I'm told they are adding a few more flights out of CLE to Florida. They can do that there as they still have the largest market share.
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Old Jun 16, 2019, 4:52 pm
  #146  
 
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Originally Posted by discoseal
As far as the Southeast goes, TPA and MCO (arguably) have the potential to have hub-like capacity with the right investment.
The argument against Florida is that the O&D traffic is leisure-heavy and the LCCs make the competition based on price to be pretty brutal. And central Florida is out of the way for pretty much any domestic connection you can come up with. So to really make a go of it with big presence, you're talking big investment in an attempt to create an alternative to Miami in terms of domestic/international connections for Latin American and Caribbean routes, and that comes at a risk level that would likely cause a lot of discomfort among investors.

The best strategy in the state at this point is probably nibbling along the edges and trying to find a few routes that are underserved rather than a huge expansion attempt.
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