Feb 9, 2019, 8:39 pm
Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Aug 31, 2018, 8:35 am
#3106
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,400
Aug 31, 2018, 8:39 am
#3107
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This was the craziest I have ever seen ... yesterday, wife and MIL on ORD-JAC. They were #8 and #9 ... and a paid F ticket with ORD-JAC waitlisted since the booking class was not available at the time of purchase. And yes, there were 7 (!) on a higher fare class also waiting for a confirmed seat in F. Holy cow! They were #1/2 as expected on another segment, so I know this was coded correctly. Unreal, forget clearing upgrades if you are down at #8 /9 with paid F!
On the plus side the 'P-class requested' is now translating to the airport waitlist correctly ... that's a plus.
On the plus side the 'P-class requested' is now translating to the airport waitlist correctly ... that's a plus.
Aug 31, 2018, 9:01 am
#3108
Join Date: Jul 2018
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 22
Yes - expert mode on United's website. It's already enabled and is part of my daily routine. Clearly I'm no expert yet in keeping the different tools straight in my mind.
Aug 31, 2018, 2:41 pm
#3109
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: MSP
Programs: DL PM, UA Gold, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 14,410
This was the craziest I have ever seen ... yesterday, wife and MIL on ORD-JAC. They were #8 and #9 ... and a paid F ticket with ORD-JAC waitlisted since the booking class was not available at the time of purchase. And yes, there were 7 (!) on a higher fare class also waiting for a confirmed seat in F. Holy cow! They were #1/2 as expected on another segment, so I know this was coded correctly. Unreal, forget clearing upgrades if you are down at #8 /9 with paid F!
On the plus side the 'P-class requested' is now translating to the airport waitlist correctly ... that's a plus.
On the plus side the 'P-class requested' is now translating to the airport waitlist correctly ... that's a plus.
Sep 3, 2018, 8:43 am
#3110
Used to be guidogh
Join Date: Aug 2012
Programs: FB Ultimate, Hertz Platinum, Star Aliiance Gold
Posts: 364
What are the odds for the following flights using a GPU
added the availability, though I think it would not say too much because its over 4 months out...?
Saturday morning flight on 777-200 BRU-IAD on B-fare being a Premier Gold F0FN0A0ON0O0J9JN9C9D9Z9ZN9P9PN9R0RN0IN0I0Y9YN9B9M9 E9U9H9HN9Q9V9W9S9T0L0K0G0N9XN2X0
Saturday evening flight on 767-300 IAH-SCL on B-fare being a Premier Gold J9JN9C9D8Z0ZN0P0PN0R0RN0IN0I0Y9YN9B9M9E9U9H9HN0Q9V 0W0S0T0L0K0G0N9XN0X0
Thanks for your thoughts
added the availability, though I think it would not say too much because its over 4 months out...?
Saturday morning flight on 777-200 BRU-IAD on B-fare being a Premier Gold F0FN0A0ON0O0J9JN9C9D9Z9ZN9P9PN9R0RN0IN0I0Y9YN9B9M9 E9U9H9HN9Q9V9W9S9T0L0K0G0N9XN2X0
Saturday evening flight on 767-300 IAH-SCL on B-fare being a Premier Gold J9JN9C9D8Z0ZN0P0PN0R0RN0IN0I0Y9YN9B9M9E9U9H9HN0Q9V 0W0S0T0L0K0G0N9XN0X0
Thanks for your thoughts
Last edited by Hollandair; Sep 3, 2018 at 9:48 am
Sep 3, 2018, 11:43 am
#3111
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
What are the odds for the following flights using a GPU
added the availability, though I think it would not say too much because its over 4 months out...?
Saturday morning flight on 777-200 BRU-IAD on B-fare being a Premier Gold F0FN0A0ON0O0J9JN9C9D9Z9ZN9P9PN9R0RN0IN0I0Y9YN9B9M9 E9U9H9HN9Q9V9W9S9T0L0K0G0N9XN2X0
Saturday evening flight on 767-300 IAH-SCL on B-fare being a Premier Gold J9JN9C9D8Z0ZN0P0PN0R0RN0IN0I0Y9YN9B9M9E9U9H9HN0Q9V 0W0S0T0L0K0G0N9XN0X0
Thanks for your thoughts
added the availability, though I think it would not say too much because its over 4 months out...?
Saturday morning flight on 777-200 BRU-IAD on B-fare being a Premier Gold F0FN0A0ON0O0J9JN9C9D9Z9ZN9P9PN9R0RN0IN0I0Y9YN9B9M9 E9U9H9HN9Q9V9W9S9T0L0K0G0N9XN2X0
Saturday evening flight on 767-300 IAH-SCL on B-fare being a Premier Gold J9JN9C9D8Z0ZN0P0PN0R0RN0IN0I0Y9YN9B9M9E9U9H9HN0Q9V 0W0S0T0L0K0G0N9XN0X0
Thanks for your thoughts
PN9 from BRU means that they might open some R. Might even happen tomorrow but we don't know if there are other passengers in the waitlist.
4 months out to SCL, makes it straight into high season. Less chances.
Have you checked how many seats are sold in Business for those flights? since you are not saying the dates, visit the: www.cablepick.net/united website and check it.
Sep 3, 2018, 12:38 pm
#3112
Used to be guidogh
Join Date: Aug 2012
Programs: FB Ultimate, Hertz Platinum, Star Aliiance Gold
Posts: 364
Weekends? I would choose a midweek to increase my chances.
PN9 from BRU means that they might open some R. Might even happen tomorrow but we don't know if there are other passengers in the waitlist.
4 months out to SCL, makes it straight into high season. Less chances.
Have you checked how many seats are sold in Business for those flights? since you are not saying the dates, visit the: www.cablepick.net/united website and check it.
PN9 from BRU means that they might open some R. Might even happen tomorrow but we don't know if there are other passengers in the waitlist.
4 months out to SCL, makes it straight into high season. Less chances.
Have you checked how many seats are sold in Business for those flights? since you are not saying the dates, visit the: www.cablepick.net/united website and check it.
IAH-SCL 4 seats from 30 sold so far
Sep 3, 2018, 12:51 pm
#3113
Join Date: Nov 2012
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IAH-SCL, I would make sure you have your preferred Economy + seats as I see that upgrade more difficult. Although I would make sure I have that too for BRU-IAD as you never know what might happen 4 months from now.
Hopefully, you are only one passenger on the PNR (passenger name record) as they tend to open 1R at a time. If you are two or more, they tend to bypass you and upgrade the waitlisted passenger that is alone.
Sep 3, 2018, 1:13 pm
#3114
Used to be guidogh
Join Date: Aug 2012
Programs: FB Ultimate, Hertz Platinum, Star Aliiance Gold
Posts: 364
FWIW, when I saw PN7 and PN5 and R0 on two of my flights for this November, I was not too surprised when some days later, both my upgrades cleared. So, hopefully it will happen for you too.
IAH-SCL, I would make sure you have your preferred Economy + seats as I see that upgrade more difficult. Although I would make sure I have that too for BRU-IAD as you never know what might happen 4 months from now.
Hopefully, you are only one passenger on the PNR (passenger name record) as they tend to open 1R at a time. If you are two or more, they tend to bypass you and upgrade the waitlisted passenger that is alone.
IAH-SCL, I would make sure you have your preferred Economy + seats as I see that upgrade more difficult. Although I would make sure I have that too for BRU-IAD as you never know what might happen 4 months from now.
Hopefully, you are only one passenger on the PNR (passenger name record) as they tend to open 1R at a time. If you are two or more, they tend to bypass you and upgrade the waitlisted passenger that is alone.
Sep 3, 2018, 1:45 pm
#3115
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 6
EWR-BOM on 9/9
What are my chances? 1K on a Y fare, using miles...
As of today: J9 JN9 C9 D8 Z6 ZN6 P4 PN0 R0 RN0
As of today: J9 JN9 C9 D8 Z6 ZN6 P4 PN0 R0 RN0
Sep 3, 2018, 3:29 pm
#3116
Moderator: United Airlines
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Location: SFO
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Posts: 66,850
Traveling on Sunday, peak travel day and the first full week after Labor Day Holiday
You will be at the top of the 1K list but GS could be on the wait list. Late purchases and cash upgrades are common.
Probably you will be sweating this out till the day of travel and if upgraded will be among the last.
Sep 6, 2018, 2:05 pm
#3117
Join Date: Nov 2016
Location: Houston TX
Programs: United Premier 1k, Hertz Presidents Circle, Hilton Diamond
Posts: 408
I'm 1K and flying next Friday September 14th EWR-FRA UA 960 on a Q fare. Yesterday it was at J9 today its J6 but its showing more than 6 seats open. I was hoping with J9 yesterday that my odds were good but I'm not so sure now.
Sep 6, 2018, 2:13 pm
#3118
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
Business is sold 32/39. Does not look too good. I would avoid Fridays or weekends in general. I know it's not so easy to do when traveling for work but to and from Germany I had more upgrade success mid-weeks and most often I clear some weeks or months before the flights.
Sep 6, 2018, 8:58 pm
#3119
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I would agree with StuckinITH, this one is not great odds with 32/39 booked (though not hopeless). Friday night in September is always going to be tough.
Sep 7, 2018, 10:04 am
#3120
Join Date: Aug 2018
Programs: MillagePlus
Posts: 15
J is not an inventory bucket that tells us much of anything about upgrade odds. P and PN availability are good indicators, Z0 ZN0 are negative indicators. Beyond that, bookings is a much more informative figure than the J inventory number.
I would agree with StuckinITH, this one is not great odds with 32/39 booked (though not hopeless). Friday night in September is always going to be tough.
I would agree with StuckinITH, this one is not great odds with 32/39 booked (though not hopeless). Friday night in September is always going to be tough.
Thanks!