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[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight

[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight

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Old Nov 5, 22, 3:17 am   -   Wikipost
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Old Sep 26, 22, 1:13 am
  #1186  
Moderator: United Airlines; FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Plat 1.85MM, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Plat/LT Gold, Hilton Silver, IHG Plat
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Originally Posted by nichojo View Post
These days, what are the chances of an upgrade using cash+copay from Premium Eco -> Business on UA1/2?
UA status?
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Old Sep 26, 22, 9:34 pm
  #1187  
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Singapore
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Originally Posted by WineCountryUA View Post
UA status?
Nill.
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Old Sep 26, 22, 9:49 pm
  #1188  
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Originally Posted by nichojo View Post
Nill.
Flight dates?
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Old Sep 27, 22, 2:18 pm
  #1189  
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Originally Posted by nomad420 View Post
Haven't flown on Thanksgiving in years but I am on the 7am SFO to EWR flight with PPs applied. I have heard loads are light Thanksgiving AM and would love to clear some of these PPs. It looked pretty open but of course got waitlisted, any thoughts on what usually is a horrible flight to attempt an upgrade on?
Flight's currently J43 with 2 GS and 6 non-GS on the list... but it's 2 months out.
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Old Sep 27, 22, 11:50 pm
  #1190  
 
Join Date: Jan 2020
Location: San Fransisco Bay Area
Programs: United 1K, Marriott Ambassador
Posts: 249
I'm wondering my chances of upgrade on UA 59 on Nov 27, FRA-SFO, I paid for O and have applied my PlusPoints as 1K. I'm guessing not many people spend Thanksgiving in Europe so I may have a chance?
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Old Sep 27, 22, 11:59 pm
  #1191  
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30 unclaimed Polaris seats, 1K, O fare - Im guessing better than 50% chance. Probably should pose question again at end of October.

Nice to have PremPlus seat as starting point for upgrade hopes on a daytime flight.
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Old Sep 28, 22, 12:24 am
  #1192  
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Originally Posted by IAH-OIL-TRASH View Post
30 unclaimed Polaris seats, 1K, O fare - Im guessing better than 50% chance. Probably should pose question again at end of October.

Nice to have PremPlus seat as starting point for upgrade hopes on a daytime flight.
On the contrary, J9 C9 D2 C0 is not particularly promising, nor is the fact that the cabin is half full two months prior to departure.

The Sunday after Thanksgiving, you're going to get a mix of Europeans coming on business travel and Americans taking advantage of the short week to take a trip.

1K on an O fare certainly has a chance, but in my opinion, it's less than 25%, greater than 50%. I do agree OP should check back in a month.
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Old Sep 28, 22, 12:29 am
  #1193  
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Originally Posted by IAH-OIL-TRASH View Post
Flight dates?
Also what premium economy fare class?
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Old Sep 28, 22, 8:34 am
  #1194  
 
Join Date: Dec 2015
Programs: UA Mileage Plus
Posts: 200
Wondering if it's worth doing a miles plus money upgrade on MAD - EWR on 10/15, with 5 1K's already on the waiting list with pluspoints applied, as a 1K on a S fare with the following:

Available fare classes
  • J3
  • JN3
  • C3
  • D1
  • Z0
  • ZN0
  • P0
  • PN0
  • PZ0
  • IN0
  • I0
  • Y9
  • YN9
  • B9
  • M9
  • E9
  • U9
  • H5
  • HN5
  • Q2
  • V0
  • W0
  • S0
  • T0
  • L0
  • K0
  • G0
  • N9
  • XN0
  • X0
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Old Sep 28, 22, 8:41 am
  #1195  
 
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Originally Posted by azfanboy View Post
Wondering if it's worth doing a miles plus money upgrade on MAD - EWR on 10/15, with 5 1K's already on the waiting list with pluspoints applied, as a 1K on a S fare with the following:

Available fare classes
  • J3
  • JN3
  • C3
  • D1
  • Z0
  • ZN0
  • P0
  • PN0
  • PZ0
  • IN0
  • I0
  • Y9
  • YN9
  • B9
  • M9
  • E9
  • U9
  • H5
  • HN5
  • Q2
  • V0
  • W0
  • S0
  • T0
  • L0
  • K0
  • G0
  • N9
  • XN0
  • X0
J3, C3, D1 is not a good sign for a flight 2.5 weeks out.
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Old Sep 28, 22, 1:02 pm
  #1196  
 
Join Date: Jun 2013
Location: BOS
Programs: UA Platnium, TK Elite Plus
Posts: 133
I would like some advice on how to maximize my chances of getting a points plus upgrade from economy to business on USA to India. I'm a UA Plat currently booked BOS-EWR-DEL in B on Nov 16. The EWR-DEL leg is showing: ​​​​​​J9 JN9 C9 D1 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 O1 ON1 A0 R0 RN0 Y9 YN9 B9 M0 E0 U0 H0 HN0 Q0 V0 W0 S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0.

Option 2 is to try to to change to BOS-ORD-DEL. The ORD-DEL leg is showing: J9 JN9 C9 D3 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 O9 ON9 A0 R0 RN0 Y9 YN9 B9 M0 E0 U0 H0 HN0 Q0 V0 W0 S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9 XN0 X0.

I've heard that EWR-DEL is one of the hardest upgrades to get. I don't mind backtracking to ORD if it greatly increases my chances of getting the upgrade to clear. It seems to me that the probability of at least getting a premium plus upgrade on ORD-DEL is higher. What does the brain trust think? Thanks
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Old Sep 28, 22, 4:07 pm
  #1197  
 
Join Date: Dec 2019
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Neither look very good for an upgrade to Polaris, when looking at the fares left. However, if you’re in Y and looking for an upgrade into PP, the ORD-DEL flight looks better right now since there are PP seats left (O9) and Y seems to be full.
If you’re trying to upgrade from Y to Polaris, not looking good for either flight, since the PP to Polaris crowd will upgrade ahead of you.
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Old Sep 28, 22, 4:33 pm
  #1198  
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
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Question for the experts on this thread. Which sites 2 months out shows How many on the WL are GS & How Many are 1Ks ?
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Old Sep 28, 22, 5:13 pm
  #1199  
 
Join Date: Jun 2013
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Originally Posted by VRFast View Post
Neither look very good for an upgrade to Polaris, when looking at the fares left. However, if youre in Y and looking for an upgrade into PP, the ORD-DEL flight looks better right now since there are PP seats left (O9) and Y seems to be full.
If youre trying to upgrade from Y to Polaris, not looking good for either flight, since the PP to Polaris crowd will upgrade ahead of you.
Yeah I think ORD-DEL is a mich higher chance of at least getting PP. Any reason not to switch to ORD-DEL from EWR-DEL?
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Old Sep 28, 22, 6:11 pm
  #1200  
 
Join Date: Jul 2022
Programs: MilagePlus
Posts: 4
May be this is not the right place for the question but I could not find where else to put it.
IAH-FRA-GDN 11th Oct ( booked in O PZ was available so upgraded to P)
GDN-FRA-IAH 15th Oct. (Booked in O) but flight UA8866 is a codeshare operated by LH and I cant seem to find any way to apply any kind of updates to it! ( PP/Miles/SAUA).... Any suggestions on how to get it ? Also its do not know how full the cabin is so any help there is appreciated!

I am Platinum and will be 1K after this trip if that matters.

Thanks!
K
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