[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
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#91
Join Date: Nov 2019
Programs: UA 1K, IHG Spire Ambassador, Hyatt Globalist, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 142
Thank you for the info. I believe he was not aware that he’d be able to upgrade both the departure and connecting flight for 80 points total and the agent he spoke to did not suggest it either. I spoke with a UA rep and she said if only the ORD-SFO leg gets upgraded, he will only be charged 20 PP (80 point deduction then 60 point refund) Also found this info on the UA site:
https://mileageplusupdates.com/milea...ct-your-points
https://mileageplusupdates.com/milea...ccordion-faq-7
https://mileageplusupdates.com/milea...ct-your-points
https://mileageplusupdates.com/milea...ccordion-faq-7
#93
Join Date: Jun 2011
Programs: United Premier Platinum
Posts: 601
Pre-COVID, which mainland US-Japan UA routes generally had the best chances of MUA/PP clearance off the waitlist? This question assumes all day of week / seasonality factors are held equal.
Specifically trying to decide between IAD-HND, ORD-HND, and DEN-NRT on 12/20/20. All are basically empty cabins right now except for three aisle seats in the back blocked (I'm guessing for crew). Also, since DEN-NRT is old J, one seat in each pair is blocked for COVID.
IAD is J6, but ORD and DEN are J9.
Specifically trying to decide between IAD-HND, ORD-HND, and DEN-NRT on 12/20/20. All are basically empty cabins right now except for three aisle seats in the back blocked (I'm guessing for crew). Also, since DEN-NRT is old J, one seat in each pair is blocked for COVID.
IAD is J6, but ORD and DEN are J9.
Last edited by mcrw00; May 21, 20 at 3:25 pm Reason: Added more information
#95
Join Date: Oct 2013
Location: SFO
Programs: UA 1K, AA EXP, Hyatt Glob, Hilton Diamond, Marriott Plat, Total Wine & More Reserve
Posts: 2,922
I typically haven't looked at Midwest/East Coast-Japan routes, but LAX-NRT was a usually good bet for PZ availability eventually opening up.
#96
Join Date: May 2007
Location: LAX
Programs: UA 1K, Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 3,881
Assuming aircraft assignments return mostly to pre-pandemic "normals" by then, my vote would be for IAD or ORD. DEN on the 788 has the smallest J cabin by far--I believe UA had only been selling J to 28 (the capacity in the new Polaris configuration) and upgrading up to eight pax at the gate if the old 36J configuration was due to operate the flight. Seems weird that IAD is at J6 now--I'd watch that for a few days to make sure it's not a glitch or anything, and if it goes back to J9 ... P9 then I'd feel equally good about that and ORD.
#97
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: NYC (Primarily EWR)
Programs: UA 1K / *G, Marriott Bonvoy Gold; ALL Gold; Hertz PC; Avis PC
Posts: 8,348
Anyone have experience on PlusPoint upgrades clearing on flights in these times? I am looking at EWR-LAX on a 78J, showing P9 PN9, PZ0 approximately 2 weeks out. Are these filling up last minute, or would I (as a 1K) likely clear?
#98
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Haze gray and underway
Programs: UA 1K MM, HH Diamond, Marriott 'clink clink' Titanium
Posts: 1,678
I am 5 for 5 on PlusPoint upgrades on the EWR - LAX - EWR run in the last thirty days. I haven't purchased a ticket more than four days before and two in less less than 24 hours preflight. Three 787-10s and two 767 Hi-J. It seems at the moment that the higher number of J seats out strip paying demand. Passenger loads are increasing and I'm seeing 2 -3 1K's pre-boarding as opposed to the 1 and sometimes 2.
#99
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: NYC (Primarily EWR)
Programs: UA 1K / *G, Marriott Bonvoy Gold; ALL Gold; Hertz PC; Avis PC
Posts: 8,348
I am 5 for 5 on PlusPoint upgrades on the EWR - LAX - EWR run in the last thirty days. I haven't purchased a ticket more than four days before and two in less less than 24 hours preflight. Three 787-10s and two 767 Hi-J. It seems at the moment that the higher number of J seats out strip paying demand. Passenger loads are increasing and I'm seeing 2 -3 1K's pre-boarding as opposed to the 1 and sometimes 2.

#100
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
In the last 2 weeks, I have had 3 p.s. trans-con legs (2X EWR-LAX and 1X LAX-EWR) that did not clear. 3 out of 4. Not to mention, I am multiple down on the UG list.
This is the only subset of flights that I have issues with. I am 100% on all CPU routes since March.
Going to be very tough for me to utilize my PP's this year if the p.s. market has already come back this strong and upgrades are once again nearly impossible. Hopefully I can extend them a bit into next year, or I will probably leave around 300 on the table.
This is the only subset of flights that I have issues with. I am 100% on all CPU routes since March.
Going to be very tough for me to utilize my PP's this year if the p.s. market has already come back this strong and upgrades are once again nearly impossible. Hopefully I can extend them a bit into next year, or I will probably leave around 300 on the table.

#101
FlyerTalk Evangelist


Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: TOA
Programs: HH Diamond, Marriott LTPP/Platinum Premier, Hyatt Lame-ist, UA !K
Posts: 14,262
In the last 2 weeks, I have had 3 p.s. trans-con legs (2X EWR-LAX and 1X LAX-EWR) that did not clear. 3 out of 4. Not to mention, I am multiple down on the UG list.
This is the only subset of flights that I have issues with. I am 100% on all CPU routes since March.
Going to be very tough for me to utilize my PP's this year if the p.s. market has already come back this strong and upgrades are once again nearly impossible. Hopefully I can extend them a bit into next year, or I will probably leave around 300 on the table.
This is the only subset of flights that I have issues with. I am 100% on all CPU routes since March.
Going to be very tough for me to utilize my PP's this year if the p.s. market has already come back this strong and upgrades are once again nearly impossible. Hopefully I can extend them a bit into next year, or I will probably leave around 300 on the table.

David
#102
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
No. Haven't had to apply PP's to anything CPU-able. Maybe I would have felt better had I done that, but then again, on many flights, most of the upgrade list clears and there have been open seats in F on some flights.
#103
FlyerTalk Evangelist


Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: TOA
Programs: HH Diamond, Marriott LTPP/Platinum Premier, Hyatt Lame-ist, UA !K
Posts: 14,262
If you do make the jump into domestic F/J, you'll get a snack box. If you don't, E+ will be empty (but no snack box).
David
#104
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
Then I offer a test of your 1K-hood - apply your PPs on 8:30 am LAX-IAD or SFO-IAD 788 flights (and still making the 5:30-ish connect to EWR) and/or the 6:15 pm IAD-LAX 788 (or 5:55 pm IAD-SFO) returns.
If you do make the jump into domestic F/J, you'll get a snack box. If you don't, E+ will be empty (but no snack box).
David
If you do make the jump into domestic F/J, you'll get a snack box. If you don't, E+ will be empty (but no snack box).
David
#105
Join Date: Apr 2018
Posts: 364
