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[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}

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Old Feb 9, 2019, 8:39 pm
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[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}

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Old Jul 16, 2018, 8:57 am
  #2911  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Oct 1999
Posts: 11,468
Looking at R-space on UA45/B788 2 weeks out:
it is J9C8D6Z6P5, 14 seats open on seat map, load 28/36 (per cablepick) ??
is UA overbooking Polaris?
cesco.g is offline  
Old Jul 16, 2018, 2:59 pm
  #2912  
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
Originally Posted by cesco.g
Looking at R-space on UA45/B788 2 weeks out:
it is J9C8D6Z6P5, 14 seats open on seat map, load 28/36 (per cablepick) ??
is UA overbooking Polaris?
I asked the same question about UA1/2 when I saw that UA1 was selling more seats than were available, and a phone agent confirmed to me that this was the case last year on my 2nd trip to SIN on that flight. My guess is that they have consistent enough missed connections that they are willing to do that for some routes. UA1, for instance, is a late night flight out of SFO to SIN... both times I've been on it, it was common to see 20 missed connections with a couple missed connections in J as well.

UA45 originates in ZRH, which is another major connection hub for *A. I'm willing to bet that UA gambles and overbooks J in this instance as well... maybe by 1. Worst case scenario, they offer someone $1500 in UA funny munny to take a seat in the back or move to a different flight in J.
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Old Jul 18, 2018, 9:27 am
  #2913  
 
Join Date: Dec 2015
Programs: UA Mileage Plus
Posts: 300
I have some GPU's that I want to put to good use before they expire in Jan 2019. I am 1K and am wondering what would be the best way to redeem for a long weekend on EWR - BOM after October 27, when the new Polaris goes into service.
Should I focus on the weekdays? Maybe Tuesdays or Wednesdays?
Should I wait till there is R space available to buy the ticket, if I have that option?
Any other strategy I should use to snag a Polaris both inbound and outbound?
azfanboy is offline  
Old Jul 20, 2018, 10:44 am
  #2914  
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: San Francisco, CA (SFO)
Programs: UA 1K, UA .53 MM, Marriott Gold, Nexus, GE, TSA Pre, Hertz PC
Posts: 581
UA 269
LAX-ORD
Saturday, 7/28/18, 12:15 PM Departure
First is booked 8 of 24
F9 A9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN9 R9 RN9 IN0 I0
T-8 days 2.5 hours until departure

Considering pulling back my RPU....thoughts?
SFOrunner is offline  
Old Jul 20, 2018, 11:00 am
  #2915  
 
Join Date: Jan 2016
Programs: UA 1K; *G, AA Plat
Posts: 1,700
Originally Posted by LRMErnst
UA 269
LAX-ORD
Saturday, 7/28/18, 12:15 PM Departure
First is booked 8 of 24
F9 A9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN9 R9 RN9 IN0 I0
T-8 days 2.5 hours until departure

Considering pulling back my RPU....thoughts?
Pull it back. I've flown LAX-ORD once on Sat/Sun roundtrip. Silvers/CC holders were getting upgraded on Sat.
laxmillenial is offline  
Old Jul 20, 2018, 11:46 am
  #2916  
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: San Francisco, CA (SFO)
Programs: UA 1K, UA .53 MM, Marriott Gold, Nexus, GE, TSA Pre, Hertz PC
Posts: 581
Originally Posted by laxmillenial
Pull it back. I've flown LAX-ORD once on Sat/Sun roundtrip. Silvers/CC holders were getting upgraded on Sat.
Silvers and CC holders in First?! May as well be sitting in Y.


ps - ^^^ sarcasm, but kind of not thanks for the heads up!
SFOrunner is offline  
Old Jul 20, 2018, 1:22 pm
  #2917  
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Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: MSP
Programs: DL PM, UA Gold, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 14,410
Originally Posted by LRMErnst
UA 269
LAX-ORD
Saturday, 7/28/18, 12:15 PM Departure
First is booked 8 of 24
F9 A9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN9 R9 RN9 IN0 I0
T-8 days 2.5 hours until departure

Considering pulling back my RPU....thoughts?
95% in favor of a 1K CPU.
findark is offline  
Old Jul 20, 2018, 1:38 pm
  #2918  
 
Join Date: Jan 2013
Programs: UA 1K | MR Platinum
Posts: 492
UA 669, 07/26
DEN-MSP
  • F9
  • A9
  • JN9
  • C9
  • D9
  • Z9
  • ZN9
  • P9
  • PN9
  • R9
  • RN9
2 pax flying on same rez with W fares (me with plat status, other with no status). Feeling there may be a possibility of us both getting upgraded given the late departure time.
mtftw is offline  
Old Jul 20, 2018, 4:20 pm
  #2919  
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
Originally Posted by mtftw
UA 669, 07/26
DEN-MSP
  • F9
  • A9
  • JN9
  • C9
  • D9
  • Z9
  • ZN9
  • P9
  • PN9
  • R9
  • RN9
2 pax flying on same rez with W fares (me with plat status, other with no status). Feeling there may be a possibility of us both getting upgraded given the late departure time.
Looking pretty good here.... don't think 9 people with higher status will book on Monday and take that R space away... though I've seen crazier things happen.
jjmoore is offline  
Old Jul 20, 2018, 11:06 pm
  #2920  
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 451
Just curious, I am looking at a flight from SFO-TLV for upgrade with miles and co-pay. I looked at cablepick and only 11/60 are booked. 6 weeks out. I think I will clear but is it unusual that it is waitlisted with 49 seats still available? I guess no PN though. Thanks!
  • J9
  • JN9
  • C9
  • D9
  • Z9
  • ZN9
  • P8
  • PN0
  • R0
  • RN0
daisyatl is offline  
Old Jul 20, 2018, 11:12 pm
  #2921  
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Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,452
Originally Posted by daisyatl
I am looking at a flight from SFO-TLV for upgrade with miles and co-pay. I looked at cablepick and only 11/60 are booked. 6 weeks out. I think I will clear but is it unusual that it is waitlisted with 49 seats still available?
  • J9
  • JN9
  • C9
  • D9
  • Z9
  • ZN9
  • P8
  • PN0
  • R0
  • RN0
Not unusual at all. Six weeks out that's a pretty good chance, but not guaranteed.
Kacee is offline  
Old Jul 20, 2018, 11:21 pm
  #2922  
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 451
Originally Posted by Kacee
Not unusual at all. Six weeks out that's a pretty good chance, but not guaranteed.
Thanks. Do the upgrades usually only happen within a week of the flight or could it happen anytime? This is only my second time doing this. Seems worthwhile for $600 plus 35K miles. I have flown business with GPUs but those either cleared at booking or were quite full flights and cleared only at the last minute.
daisyatl is offline  
Old Jul 20, 2018, 11:24 pm
  #2923  
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Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,452
Originally Posted by daisyatl
Thanks. Do the upgrades usually only happen within a week of the flight or could it happen anytime? This is only my second time doing this. Seems worthwhile for $600 plus 35K miles. I have flown business with GPUs but those either cleared at booking or were quite full flights and cleared only at the last minute.
Could clear any time. A common pattern booked 11/60 would be to clear between 4 and 6 weeks out, though again, no guarantees.

The nice thing about miles and co-pay is there's no loss if you miss (unlike buying up to a W to use a GPU that fails).
Kacee is offline  
Old Jul 20, 2018, 11:29 pm
  #2924  
 
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 451
Originally Posted by Kacee
Could clear any time. A common pattern booked 11/60 would be to clear between 4 and 6 weeks out, though again, no guarantees.

The nice thing about miles and co-pay is there's no loss if you miss (unlike buying up to a W to use a GPU that fails).
Thank you again.

Agreed. I have bought W for a GPU but only when R was available. I had a friend who was GS and he upgraded me all the time. Those were the days. I also inherited his status then for waitlist purposes. I don't think that happens anymore.

Anyway, I really like the seats on 777-300ER and the SFO-TLV route is going back to the 787 in October so thought it would be worth it to splurge one last time.
daisyatl is offline  
Old Jul 21, 2018, 9:09 am
  #2925  
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: DFW
Programs: UA Platinum, Hilton Diamond, Marriott Gold, Hertz PC, Avis PC, Global Entry, CLEAR
Posts: 79
Have flight IAH - SYD, K class, for Nov 15 with return SYD - IAH, Nov 22nd (thanksgiving); platinum status. Used miles + copay for both directions. Return cleared at booking, which wasn't surprising given only 6/48 were booked. On outbound, 16/48 booked and waitlisted for upgrade. I've heard this route has been pretty light loads so was hopeful would be better routing (from/to EWR), that I booked vs. LAX or SFO connect. How good do you feel chances are?

Flight is showing current class availability:
  • J9
  • JN9
  • C9
  • D9
  • Z0
  • ZN0
  • P0
  • PN0
  • R0
  • RN0
  • IN0
  • I0
  • Y9
  • YN9
  • B9
  • M9
  • E9
  • U9
  • H9
  • HN9
  • Q9
  • V9
  • W9
  • S9
  • T9
  • L9
  • K9
  • G9
  • N9
  • XN9
  • X9
MikieLikesMiles is offline  


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