Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
#2896
Join Date: Apr 2018
Posts: 572
Bought my ticket on UA website 90+ days in advance, RPU applied right after purchase.
UA 2051 TPA-SFO 5.5 hrs flight was 0/20 when I booked and 4/20 @ 60 days prior to the flight, but system NEVER cleared me, this morning was at 16/20.
UA 1589 SFO-HNL 5.5 hrs flight was cleared 60 days before flight.
I was thinking to SDC to TPA-ORD-HNL
Edit: UA 2051 used to be on 320 with 12 first class seats until June, I thought changing it to 739 with 20 seats would increase my chance of clearing RPU on this route, but I was wrong, this route is one the toughest domestic route to clear RPU, forget the CPU here completely!
UA 2051 TPA-SFO 5.5 hrs flight was 0/20 when I booked and 4/20 @ 60 days prior to the flight, but system NEVER cleared me, this morning was at 16/20.
UA 1589 SFO-HNL 5.5 hrs flight was cleared 60 days before flight.
I was thinking to SDC to TPA-ORD-HNL
Edit: UA 2051 used to be on 320 with 12 first class seats until June, I thought changing it to 739 with 20 seats would increase my chance of clearing RPU on this route, but I was wrong, this route is one the toughest domestic route to clear RPU, forget the CPU here completely!
#2897
Join Date: Apr 2018
Location: In the clouds
Programs: AS MVP Gold, Hyatt Globalist
Posts: 42
Hey All. I'm debating between the following two flights.
UA 901 SFO-LHR on either 8/7/18 or 8/12/18
I'm flying with one companion with no status on the same reservation.
8/7 looks like it has a fair amount of seats in business left, but not a lot of seats together. (edit 32 seats)
8/12 has more seats in pairs but less single seats in business. (edit 39 seats)
Since we're on the same reservation, would we only get upgraded together into the seat pairs?
I'm planning on purchasing an economy fare (K) and using MUA to upgrade. I have GPUs but since it's not guaranteed, I think it's better to chose MUA and get my copay back if the upgrade doesn't clear vs paying more for a W fare and still being out that money if my GPU doesn't clear. The difference between K and W on this flight is more than the copay.
Background: 1K, plenty of GPUs or miles to use. On the return, I'm going to use GPUs since it's confirmed at booking.
Thoughts? What are the chances the MUAs will clear?
UA 901 SFO-LHR on either 8/7/18 or 8/12/18
I'm flying with one companion with no status on the same reservation.
8/7 looks like it has a fair amount of seats in business left, but not a lot of seats together. (edit 32 seats)
8/12 has more seats in pairs but less single seats in business. (edit 39 seats)
Since we're on the same reservation, would we only get upgraded together into the seat pairs?
I'm planning on purchasing an economy fare (K) and using MUA to upgrade. I have GPUs but since it's not guaranteed, I think it's better to chose MUA and get my copay back if the upgrade doesn't clear vs paying more for a W fare and still being out that money if my GPU doesn't clear. The difference between K and W on this flight is more than the copay.
Background: 1K, plenty of GPUs or miles to use. On the return, I'm going to use GPUs since it's confirmed at booking.
Thoughts? What are the chances the MUAs will clear?
Last edited by extreme_panda; Jul 11, 2018 at 3:12 pm Reason: updating seat numbers
#2899
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,453
#2900
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: WAS
Programs: UA Platinum, AA Gold
Posts: 93
Platinum. What are my CPU chances?
Sunday July 15
IAD-SFO UA424 8:18am dpt full Y-fare
Currently F7 A6 JN7 C6 D6 Z5 ZN5 P5 PN5 R0 RN0
Friday July 20
SFO-IAD UA517 4:26pm dpt full Y-fare
Currently F4 A0 JN4 C1 D1 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 R0 RN0
Thinking of throwing an RPU at this one
Sunday July 15
IAD-SFO UA424 8:18am dpt full Y-fare
Currently F7 A6 JN7 C6 D6 Z5 ZN5 P5 PN5 R0 RN0
Friday July 20
SFO-IAD UA517 4:26pm dpt full Y-fare
Currently F4 A0 JN4 C1 D1 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 R0 RN0
Thinking of throwing an RPU at this one
#2901
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,400
Platinum. What are my CPU chances?
Sunday July 15
IAD-SFO UA424 8:18am dpt full Y-fare
Currently F7 A6 JN7 C6 D6 Z5 ZN5 P5 PN5 R0 RN0
Friday July 20
SFO-IAD UA517 4:26pm dpt full Y-fare
Currently F4 A0 JN4 C1 D1 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 R0 RN0
Thinking of throwing an RPU at this one
Sunday July 15
IAD-SFO UA424 8:18am dpt full Y-fare
Currently F7 A6 JN7 C6 D6 Z5 ZN5 P5 PN5 R0 RN0
Friday July 20
SFO-IAD UA517 4:26pm dpt full Y-fare
Currently F4 A0 JN4 C1 D1 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 R0 RN0
Thinking of throwing an RPU at this one
#2902
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: SFO/TPE
Programs: UA GS slavery, *A Gold, Marriott/SPG Gold, Hilton Gold, Hertz Pres Circle
Posts: 281
SFO to EWR on redeye tonight.
4 seats left 2 days ago.
8 seats showed up yesterday, agent wouldn't clear upgrade and we have 2x GS and 1x 1K.
Today (flight day), 8 seats booked, 3 people ahead of us on the list. Called GS, agent said someone came in yesterday and booked 6 revenue tickets. 2 people booked highest award business ticket.
4 seats left 2 days ago.
8 seats showed up yesterday, agent wouldn't clear upgrade and we have 2x GS and 1x 1K.
Today (flight day), 8 seats booked, 3 people ahead of us on the list. Called GS, agent said someone came in yesterday and booked 6 revenue tickets. 2 people booked highest award business ticket.
Last edited by WineCountryUA; Jul 13, 2018 at 11:35 am Reason: language
#2903
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: BRU
Programs: UA 1K, FB Silver, BA Bronze
Posts: 39
Hi all, just wondering what my upgrade chances are:
Thursday 26 July
LAX - SIN UA37 on W fare with 1K GPU applied
Currently J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN4 R0 RN0 IN0 I0
16 seats available and PN has gone from 2 to 4 in the last couple of days, for what it's worth.
edited: upgrade cleared at D-2 :-)
Thursday 26 July
LAX - SIN UA37 on W fare with 1K GPU applied
Currently J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN4 R0 RN0 IN0 I0
16 seats available and PN has gone from 2 to 4 in the last couple of days, for what it's worth.
edited: upgrade cleared at D-2 :-)
Last edited by ADW86; Jul 26, 2018 at 10:39 pm Reason: Upgrade cleared
#2904
Join Date: Dec 2016
Programs: Mileage Plus 1K \\ ConciergeKey
Posts: 531
Hi All,
Flying SFO - HKG as part of a larger leg to CAN on July 29th. My LAX - SFO portion cleared at booking with a W Fare and 30,000K Miles + 550.00 upgrade option. 20 seats on the seatmap left (which I know isn't a good way to look at things, but my EF account just expired. What do you think my chances are?
Flying SFO - HKG as part of a larger leg to CAN on July 29th. My LAX - SFO portion cleared at booking with a W Fare and 30,000K Miles + 550.00 upgrade option. 20 seats on the seatmap left (which I know isn't a good way to look at things, but my EF account just expired. What do you think my chances are?
- Available fare classes:
- J9
- JN9
- C9
- D0
- Z0
- ZN0
- P0
- PN0
- R0
- RN0
- IN0
- I0
- Y9
- YN9
- B9
- M9
- E9
- U9
- H9
- HN9
- Q9
- V9
- W9
- S9
- T9
- L0
- K0
- G0
- N9
- XN9
- X0
#2905
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,400
Flying SFO - HKG as part of a larger leg to CAN on July 29th. My LAX - SFO portion cleared at booking with a W Fare and 30,000K Miles + 550.00 upgrade option. 20 seats on the seatmap left (which I know isn't a good way to look at things, but my EF account just expired. What do you think my chances are?
Your profile lists you as 1K. Is that still accurate? The waitlist is ordered by status, then by fare paid. As a 1K on a W, you might have a shot, but realistically you're probably hoping for some misconnects.
Are you really flying from HKG to CAN?
#2906
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 11,460
Hi All,
Flying SFO - HKG as part of a larger leg to CAN on July 29th. My LAX - SFO portion cleared at booking with a W Fare and 30,000K Miles + 550.00 upgrade option. 20 seats on the seatmap left (which I know isn't a good way to look at things, but my EF account just expired. What do you think my chances are?
Flying SFO - HKG as part of a larger leg to CAN on July 29th. My LAX - SFO portion cleared at booking with a W Fare and 30,000K Miles + 550.00 upgrade option. 20 seats on the seatmap left (which I know isn't a good way to look at things, but my EF account just expired. What do you think my chances are?
- Available fare classes:
- J9
- JN9
- C9
- D0
- Z0
- ZN0
- P0
- PN0
- R0
- RN0
- IN0
- I0
- Y9
- YN9
- B9
- M9
- E9
- U9
- H9
- HN9
- Q9
- V9
- W9
- S9
- T9
- L0
- K0
- G0
- N9
- XN9
- X0
An EF account won't help you estimate loads. You can see the number of seats booked in J here, or in general via the Future Flight Status tool at https://cablepick.net/united . Spoiler: it's 41/60 today, with two weeks left to go. UA thinks they'll sell them all; that's why the inventory is as tight as it is. J9 C9 D0 means "we don't think we need to offer discount fares to sell these seats."
Your profile lists you as 1K. Is that still accurate? The waitlist is ordered by status, then by fare paid. As a 1K on a W, you might have a shot, but realistically you're probably hoping for some misconnects.
Are you really flying from HKG to CAN?
Your profile lists you as 1K. Is that still accurate? The waitlist is ordered by status, then by fare paid. As a 1K on a W, you might have a shot, but realistically you're probably hoping for some misconnects.
Are you really flying from HKG to CAN?
#2907
Join Date: Dec 2016
Programs: Mileage Plus 1K \\ ConciergeKey
Posts: 531
An EF account won't help you estimate loads. You can see the number of seats booked in J here, or in general via the Future Flight Status tool at https://cablepick.net/united . Spoiler: it's 41/60 today, with two weeks left to go. UA thinks they'll sell them all; that's why the inventory is as tight as it is. J9 C9 D0 means "we don't think we need to offer discount fares to sell these seats."
Your profile lists you as 1K. Is that still accurate? The waitlist is ordered by status, then by fare paid. As a 1K on a W, you might have a shot, but realistically you're probably hoping for some misconnects.
Are you really flying from HKG to CAN?
Your profile lists you as 1K. Is that still accurate? The waitlist is ordered by status, then by fare paid. As a 1K on a W, you might have a shot, but realistically you're probably hoping for some misconnects.
Are you really flying from HKG to CAN?
Yes, HKG - CAN, it was what was available and matched my schedule due to meetings - just curious - is that a weird routing?
#2908
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 11,460
Having done the PEK connection to CAN, I can say HKG-CAN is much better!
#2909
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,400
Exactly. I'm a little surprised anyone flies it, to be honest. I figured most people would take the ferry from HKG to Guangzhou. If the timing works out better for the flight than the boat, though, that's great. ^
#2910
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
But to go back to the subject of this thread, the upgrade chances do not look good. That's the time I would make sure I have a decent seat in Economy+. I did Economy+ to HKG from ORD in 2016, my longest flight and it was OK. I was supposed to do it again this November but, by booking my flight really early, my upgrades cleared about one month after purchasing my ticket. My wife had only cleared in one direction and then a good P fare appeared so she just upfared.