Go Back  FlyerTalk Forums > Miles&Points > Airlines and Mileage Programs > United Airlines | MileagePlus
Reload this Page >

[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}

Community
Wiki Posts
Search
Old Feb 9, 2019, 8:39 pm
FlyerTalk Forums Expert How-Tos and Guides
Last edit by: WineCountryUA
Print Wikipost

[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old Apr 18, 2018, 12:25 am
  #2521  
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Singapore
Programs: Show me the points!
Posts: 1,224
Mileage Upgrade SYD-LAX/SFO

Hi United folks, ex Delta guy who now finds himself residing in Australia needs to get back to SFO for work and I don't want to sit in economy. Problem is that my company will not pay for a big seat and therefore I gotta figure it out myself.

That said, can anyone give me a bit of high level feedback as to whether waitlisting for a mileage upgrade to either LAX or SFO is remotely advisable? I am a Silver if that counts for anything. Travels days would be Saturday to NA and back to AU on a Friday; fully in the low season - June. Thinking I could get the company to buy the Y seat and then pay the cash and miles myself to make the switch.

Thanks in advance.
nichojo is offline  
Old Apr 18, 2018, 12:47 am
  #2522  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: MSP
Programs: DL PM, UA Gold, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 14,410
You'll be hard-pressed to find R space on a weekend and waitlisting is always a dangerous game. If possible, I would also consider a split ticket connection to MEL as MEL-LAX tends to be a bit better than SYD.
findark is offline  
Old Apr 18, 2018, 1:04 am
  #2523  
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Singapore
Programs: Show me the points!
Posts: 1,224
Originally Posted by findark
You'll be hard-pressed to find R space on a weekend and waitlisting is always a dangerous game. If possible, I would also consider a split ticket connection to MEL as MEL-LAX tends to be a bit better than SYD.
Good info, thank you.
nichojo is offline  
Old Apr 18, 2018, 4:31 am
  #2524  
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: SIN
Programs: UA 1K, SQ*G, Marriott Plat
Posts: 63
Originally Posted by dcmesser
Any thoughts on chances of R opening up (and me clearing ) by Friday's UA804 NRT-IAD flight? 1K traveling on a low W fare... It looks like 29/40 booked in J and 7/8 in F (bookings, not the seat map). On the seat map Y+ looks 40-50% empty (which I know doesn't necessarily mean much, but could be an indication of lower "competition" from other elites?) United.com loads below.... Thanks in advance!

F1 FN1 A1 ON1 O0 J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z6 ZN6 P5 PN1 R0 RN0 IN0 I0 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN9 Q9 V9 W9 S9 T9 L9 K9 G9 N9 XN9 X9
Update: I saw that a seat in R opened up at T-46 and called the 1K desk to secure it. Took the agent a few minutes but he was able to get the seat.
dcmesser is offline  
Old Apr 18, 2018, 5:41 am
  #2525  
 
Join Date: Nov 2012
Programs: BA Bronze, United 1K, HH Gold, SPG Platinum, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 3,477
Originally Posted by dcmesser
Update: I saw that a seat in R opened up at T-46 and called the 1K desk to secure it. Took the agent a few minutes but he was able to get the seat.
Congratulations! Enjoy your flight!
StuckinITH is offline  
Old Apr 18, 2018, 10:53 pm
  #2526  
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Singapore
Programs: Show me the points!
Posts: 1,224
Which has highest likelihood of upgrade clearing:
1. SFO-SYD on a Thursday
2. LAX-SYD on a Friday
3. IAH-SYD on a Friday
Wildcard - LAX-MEL on a Friday
nichojo is offline  
Old Apr 19, 2018, 2:31 pm
  #2527  
 
Join Date: Feb 2017
Programs: United Mileage Plus
Posts: 86
I feel like I'm getting close enough I could ask about some chances. May 7 flight SFO-OGG. MP Silver + GM Companion on same PNR. Confirmed through Cablepick site that only 1 booked in first.

Available fare classes F9 A9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN9 R8 RN8 IN7 I7 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN9 Q9 V9 W9 S9 T9 L9 K9 G9 N9 XN9 X9

Seat Map:


How am I looking? Marginally better than 0? Would you expect a lot of changes on a leisure route 18 days out?
EAlyse is offline  
Old Apr 19, 2018, 2:36 pm
  #2528  
 
Join Date: Mar 2018
Posts: 10
Originally Posted by EAlyse
I feel like I'm getting close enough I could ask about some chances. May 7 flight SFO-OGG. MP Silver + GM Companion on same PNR. Confirmed through Cablepick site that only 1 booked in first.

Available fare classes F9 A9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN9 R8 RN8 IN7 I7 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN9 Q9 V9 W9 S9 T9 L9 K9 G9 N9 XN9 X9
How am I looking? Marginally better than 0? Would you expect a lot of changes on a leisure route 18 days out?
Are you looking for a CPU upgrade? R8 RN8 IN7 I7 look very promising.
kunalmahajan478 is offline  
Old Apr 19, 2018, 2:39 pm
  #2529  
 
Join Date: Feb 2017
Programs: United Mileage Plus
Posts: 86
Originally Posted by kunalmahajan478
Are you looking for a CPU upgrade? R8 RN8 IN7 I7 look very promising.
Yes, looking for CPU.
EAlyse is offline  
Old Apr 19, 2018, 2:42 pm
  #2530  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 11,460
Originally Posted by EAlyse
I feel like I'm getting close enough I could ask about some chances. May 7 flight SFO-OGG. MP Silver + GM Companion on same PNR. Confirmed through Cablepick site that only 1 booked in first.

Available fare classes F9 A9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN9 R8 RN8 IN7 I7 Y9 YN9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 HN9 Q9 V9 W9 S9 T9 L9 K9 G9 N9 XN9 X9

Seat Map:
img

How am I looking? Marginally better than 0? Would you expect a lot of changes on a leisure route 18 days out?
First things first: get yourself into the window seat! (And keep the aisle.) If someone takes middle, just ask to switch on board. Unlikely to be declined.

As far as CPU, I wouldn't get hopeful yet, but things don't look bad. I have seen SFO-OGG fill up within two weeks of departure, and people will take buy-up at check-in, so several of the remaining seats will probably be sold. What works in your favour is that there appear to be only three passengers with Gold or higher status, at this point. (7ED are blocked until check-in.)
fumje is offline  
Old Apr 19, 2018, 2:51 pm
  #2531  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: MSP
Programs: DL PM, UA Gold, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 14,410
At I7 I would say things look about as good as they possibly can, although Silver upgrades are basically never better than a coin flip. Good luck! While last minute bookings happen, Hawaii sees much less of the final 14 day surge of premium demand that business routes do.
findark is offline  
Old Apr 19, 2018, 2:51 pm
  #2532  
Suspended
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Bay Area
Programs: DL SM, UA MP.
Posts: 12,729
Has anyone been able to upgrade with miles on the SFO-AKL non-stop flight within the past year? Especially in the high-season months -- December, January, February?

Looks like up to 30k miles and $600 copay each way.
wco81 is offline  
Old Apr 19, 2018, 4:09 pm
  #2533  
 
Join Date: Dec 2016
Programs: Mileage Plus 1K \\ ConciergeKey
Posts: 531
Originally Posted by kunalmahajan478
Are you looking for a CPU upgrade? R8 RN8 IN7 I7 look very promising.
Yup, super promising especially given the fact that Kauai is half flooded right now and it's been raining heavy for the last week or two there.
Rumples is offline  
Old Apr 19, 2018, 4:22 pm
  #2534  
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Northern NJ/EWR
Programs: UAL 1K, STAR Gold, AA Platinum & 2MM, Marriot Platinum Lifetime, Hilton Gold, Global Entry, APEC
Posts: 20
International Upgrade question - what is the right way for me to approach this:

Am planning a trip to Geneva area this summer for myself, wife, and son (we will be initiating the trip from EWR). Nonstop outbound flight July 13 (UA 956) and nonstop return July 22 (UA 957). As a 1K I'm sitting on enough Global Upgrades that I figured I could book Economy, then use the Global Upgrade process and *voila* we would have our BusinessFirst seats for both flights.

Not so fast! The United reservations system seems to take the reservations, but at the very end of the process a warning is received, informing me that "One or more of your flights does not currently have any upgrades available. You will be placed on an upgrade waitlist. We cannot guarantee that any upgrades will be confirmed from the waitlist(s); however, this is the best way to have an upgrade confirmed if one becomes available, other than purchasing a premium cabin seating offer. "

At this time the seat maps are showing only 11 (out of 30) seats are sold on the outbound EWR to Geneva, and only 4 (out of 30) on the return flight Geneva to EWR. So I'm not certain why the Global Upgrades will not clear. I also tried with Miles and the co-pay fee, but received the same message.

I'm pretty much a noob at this stuff so appreciate any advice on how I should approach this. Do I book using the Global Upgrades, cross my fingers, and hope all three clear?

Any advice/thoughts would be greatly appreciated.

Thanks!
Grapeking is offline  
Old Apr 19, 2018, 4:40 pm
  #2535  
Moderator: United Airlines
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Plat 1.995MM, Hyatt Discoverist, Marriott Plat/LT Gold, Hilton Silver, IHG Plat
Posts: 66,850
Originally Posted by Grapeking
.... At this time the seat maps are showing only 11 (out of 30) seats are sold on the outbound EWR to Geneva, and only 4 (out of 30) on the return flight Geneva to EWR. So I'm not certain why the Global Upgrades will not clear. I also tried with Miles and the co-pay fee, but received the same message.

I'm pretty much a noob at this stuff so appreciate any advice on how I should approach this. Do I book using the Global Upgrades, cross my fingers, and hope all three clear? ....
TATL upgrades in peak vacation travel season can be tough-- mid-week is better than weekends.

GPUs or Miles plus copay have the same access to upgrade space which for a 1K comes from "R" inventory. As a 1K, you and all those on the same PNR will have your status priority. The waitlist is sorted by status, fare class and then time of request. So you will be up on the waitlist but only if 3 or more spaces are released if you stay together. It will be an all or nothing situation. You can split your PNR which will help you but you risk only some of you will clear. For more on the tradeoffs , see To split or not to split PNR

for more on the wait list process, see Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively

BTW, seat maps are a problematic way to check availability, you should turn on Expert Mode in your profile and see deeper information that you will read about in this thread.

So, yes this a bit more involved than just appling GPUs.

Good luck
WineCountryUA is offline  


Contact Us - Manage Preferences - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.