Last edit by: WineCountryUA
Archive thread
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Related thread -
Ways to search for upgrade space at booking?
Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
Decoding the alphabet soup - fare buckets for UA
Expert Mode Update: better upgrade visibility and opt-in to see fare bucket data.
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Related thread -
Ways to search for upgrade space at booking?
Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
Decoding the alphabet soup - fare buckets for UA
Expert Mode Update: better upgrade visibility and opt-in to see fare bucket data.
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
#241
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 11,446
I've noticed that too, but I don't know why or when it happens. Sometimes when the list is visible at 48h it already has some names showing cleared.
#242
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: London UK
Programs: AC 75K; HHonors Diamond; IHG Diamond; Bonvoy Gold;
Posts: 18
At T-30, just cleared #’s 1-9…
#243
Join Date: Dec 2023
Posts: 1
1K member booked in P+ (A fare) on IAH to SCL, departing Dec 23rd. Requested upgrade to Polaris with PP. Any idea on upgrade chances? Fairly short trip so I'm hoping to get a decent night sleep on the overnight! As of Dec 11th at 8:30pm:
- J7
- JN7
- C5
- D4
- Z2
- ZN2
- P0
- PN0
- PZ0
#244
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,350
I suspect PE is oversold, as it's showing O1. If it is, you've got a decent shot if there are no GS members in P+. if it's not actually oversold, or if there are more than a couple of GS members, your chances aren't great with only 7 seats remaining two weeks out.
#245
Join Date: Oct 2019
Posts: 38
Even GS in economy would be ahead of him for a Polaris upgrade.
#246
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,350
#247
Join Date: Apr 2018
Posts: 13
Flying EWR to DXB on 12/22 in economy on a V fare. I am lowly silver member, wanting to upgrade to Polaris. Right now there are 10 polaris seats available, but the upgrade cost is $5k+. There is also an upgrade offer to PP for $670 with 7 seats available, however two of those are middle seats. What are the odds of being upgraded to Polaris if I waitlist the upgrade (35k miles + $500).? Should I just do the PP upgrade outright - do you think it's worth it? Thanks!
#248
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: SFO
Posts: 3,938
Flying EWR to DXB on 12/22 in economy on a V fare. I am lowly silver member, wanting to upgrade to Polaris. Right now there are 10 polaris seats available, but the upgrade cost is $5k+. There is also an upgrade offer to PP for $670 with 7 seats available, however two of those are middle seats. What are the odds of being upgraded to Polaris if I waitlist the upgrade (35k miles + $500).? Should I just do the PP upgrade outright - do you think it's worth it? Thanks!
#250
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: SFO
Posts: 3,938
#251
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,350
OP: United doesn't like your chances of being upgraded to Polaris. The inventory is J9 (JN9) C5 D0, meaning that they're only selling full-price tickets at the moment. That's an indication that they think they can sell them. 10 days out, for a Friday night flight, as a Silver in Economy? I wouldn't like your chances, I'm afraid.
#252
Join Date: May 2010
Location: AVP & PEK
Programs: UA 1K 1.8MM
Posts: 6,330
#253
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,350
#254
Join Date: May 2010
Location: AVP & PEK
Programs: UA 1K 1.8MM
Posts: 6,330
My 'source' is unreliable, by the looks of it.
#255
Join Date: May 2015
Location: DFW
Posts: 111
i saw 49/50 too on what I assume is the same source. United’s internal system show it as 39/50 booked though with one held.