Go Back  FlyerTalk Forums > Miles&Points > Airlines and Mileage Programs > United Airlines | MileagePlus
Reload this Page >

[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight

Register
Social Groups
Search
Today's Posts
Mark Forums Read
Old Feb 8, 2018, 1:50 pm

[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight

   
Old Dec 10, 2023, 6:43 pm
  #241  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 11,446
Originally Posted by econ
Something change recently with how cleared upgrades are displayed vs. when they are not? Like in the screenshot above, I've noticed cleared upgrades showing up more often on the Flight status page outside of T-24/36 hr than I am used to seeing.
I've noticed that too, but I don't know why or when it happens. Sometimes when the list is visible at 48h it already has some names showing cleared.
fumje is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 11, 2023, 6:36 am
  #242  
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: London UK
Programs: AC 75K; HHonors Diamond; IHG Diamond; Bonvoy Gold;
Posts: 18
Originally Posted by fumje
The 36 booked includes the two already upgraded. Yes, if nothing changes, 1-12 will clear on that flight *. But things will change. Perhaps 1-8 will make the cut.

* On some aircraft, there is a seat held back for crew, but the 789 doesn't need it.

At T-30, just cleared #’s 1-9…
dirkhotel is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 11, 2023, 6:30 pm
  #243  
 
Join Date: Dec 2023
Posts: 1
1K member booked in P+ (A fare) on IAH to SCL, departing Dec 23rd. Requested upgrade to Polaris with PP. Any idea on upgrade chances? Fairly short trip so I'm hoping to get a decent night sleep on the overnight! As of Dec 11th at 8:30pm:
  • J7
  • JN7
  • C5
  • D4
  • Z2
  • ZN2
  • P0
  • PN0
  • PZ0
jogosz3510 is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 11, 2023, 6:50 pm
  #244  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,350
Originally Posted by jogosz3510
1K member booked in P+ (A fare) on IAH to SCL, departing Dec 23rd. Requested upgrade to Polaris with PP. Any idea on upgrade chances? Fairly short trip so I'm hoping to get a decent night sleep on the overnight! As of Dec 11th at 8:30pm:
  • J7
  • JN7
  • C5
  • D4
  • Z2
  • ZN2
  • P0
  • PN0
  • PZ0
I suspect PE is oversold, as it's showing O1. If it is, you've got a decent shot if there are no GS members in P+. if it's not actually oversold, or if there are more than a couple of GS members, your chances aren't great with only 7 seats remaining two weeks out.
jsloan is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 12, 2023, 12:05 am
  #245  
 
Join Date: Oct 2019
Posts: 38
Originally Posted by jsloan
I suspect PE is oversold, as it's showing O1. If it is, you've got a decent shot if there are no GS members in P+. if it's not actually oversold, or if there are more than a couple of GS members, your chances aren't great with only 7 seats remaining two weeks out.
Even GS in economy would be ahead of him for a Polaris upgrade.
Travelo is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 12, 2023, 12:13 am
  #246  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,350
Originally Posted by Travelo
Even GS in economy would be ahead of him for a Polaris upgrade.
If PE is oversold, they have to resolve the oversale first. That's precisely why I think a PE oversale is a necessary condition to OP having a reasonable upgrade chance.
SPN Lifer, Kacee and jackk763 like this.
jsloan is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 12, 2023, 2:43 pm
  #247  
 
Join Date: Apr 2018
Posts: 13
Flying EWR to DXB on 12/22 in economy on a V fare. I am lowly silver member, wanting to upgrade to Polaris. Right now there are 10 polaris seats available, but the upgrade cost is $5k+. There is also an upgrade offer to PP for $670 with 7 seats available, however two of those are middle seats. What are the odds of being upgraded to Polaris if I waitlist the upgrade (35k miles + $500).? Should I just do the PP upgrade outright - do you think it's worth it? Thanks!
bulls011 is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 12, 2023, 3:16 pm
  #248  
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: SFO
Posts: 3,938
Originally Posted by bulls011
Flying EWR to DXB on 12/22 in economy on a V fare. I am lowly silver member, wanting to upgrade to Polaris. Right now there are 10 polaris seats available, but the upgrade cost is $5k+. There is also an upgrade offer to PP for $670 with 7 seats available, however two of those are middle seats. What are the odds of being upgraded to Polaris if I waitlist the upgrade (35k miles + $500).? Should I just do the PP upgrade outright - do you think it's worth it? Thanks!
How do you know there are 10 seats available?
malgudi is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 12, 2023, 3:17 pm
  #249  
 
Join Date: Apr 2018
Posts: 13
Originally Posted by malgudi
How do you know there are 10 seats available?
I was just looking at the seat map in my united app and it shows 10 open seats. I'm a newbie to all this stuff - is that not the right way to look at it?
bulls011 is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 12, 2023, 3:22 pm
  #250  
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: SFO
Posts: 3,938
Originally Posted by bulls011
I was just looking at the seat map in my united app and it shows 10 open seats. I'm a newbie to all this stuff - is that not the right way to look at it?
No. Seat map is not a good indicator of availability ... as not everyone booked may have chosen a seat yet.
malgudi is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 12, 2023, 3:48 pm
  #251  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,350
Originally Posted by malgudi
No. Seat map is not a good indicator of availability ... as not everyone booked may have chosen a seat yet.
While that's definitely true, in this case it's showing J9 availability, so the seat map is probably close to being accurate.

OP: United doesn't like your chances of being upgraded to Polaris. The inventory is J9 (JN9) C5 D0, meaning that they're only selling full-price tickets at the moment. That's an indication that they think they can sell them. 10 days out, for a Friday night flight, as a Silver in Economy? I wouldn't like your chances, I'm afraid.
SPN Lifer, malgudi and narvik like this.
jsloan is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 12, 2023, 3:56 pm
  #252  
 
Join Date: May 2010
Location: AVP & PEK
Programs: UA 1K 1.8MM
Posts: 6,330
Originally Posted by jsloan
While that's definitely true, in this case it's showing J9 availability, so the seat map is probably close to being accurate.
Looks like it's currently 49 out of 50 booked.
Quite a few on upgrade list currently (~57!).
narvik is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 12, 2023, 4:15 pm
  #253  
FlyerTalk Evangelist
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,350
Originally Posted by narvik
Looks like it's currently 49 out of 50 booked.
Quite a few on upgrade list currently (~57!).
Are we looking at the same flight? OP asked about 12/22. I see J9; hard for me to believe they'd be willing to oversell J by so much.
jsloan is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 12, 2023, 4:29 pm
  #254  
 
Join Date: May 2010
Location: AVP & PEK
Programs: UA 1K 1.8MM
Posts: 6,330
Originally Posted by jsloan
Are we looking at the same flight? OP asked about 12/22. I see J9; hard for me to believe they'd be willing to oversell J by so much.
Yeah, I'm not 100% sure now. Thought I first saw 39/50 but then it jumped to 49/50 a few minutes later.
My 'source' is unreliable, by the looks of it.
jsloan likes this.
narvik is offline  
Reply
Old Dec 12, 2023, 5:09 pm
  #255  
 
Join Date: May 2015
Location: DFW
Posts: 111
Originally Posted by narvik
Yeah, I'm not 100% sure now. Thought I first saw 39/50 but then it jumped to 49/50 a few minutes later.
My 'source' is unreliable, by the looks of it.
i saw 49/50 too on what I assume is the same source. United’s internal system show it as 39/50 booked though with one held.
narvik likes this.
mariol is offline  
Reply

Thread Tools
Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search

Advanced Search
Reply Closed Thread Share
Forum Jump

Contact Us - Manage Preferences - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service -

This site is owned, operated, and maintained by MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Designated trademarks are the property of their respective owners.