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-   -   What Route(s) do you wish UA Flew? (https://www.flyertalk.com/forum/united-airlines-mileageplus/1863367-what-route-s-do-you-wish-ua-flew.html)

HNLbasedFlyer Feb 13, 2020 10:59 am


Originally Posted by spartacusmcfly (Post 32068026)
It's niave to think it'll have no impact on United. MSFT alone has 6,500 employees in southern India. Lots of SEA folks connect via SFO to get to India.

If those MSFT employees weren't already UA fliers (they probably weren't out of SEA), then this isn't going to have an impact on UA. If they are UA fliers, I don't think one route is going to sway them.

spartacusmcfly Feb 13, 2020 11:05 am


Originally Posted by JimInOhio (Post 32068050)
So what? UA wasn't going to fly SEA-BLR anyway so let someone else do it.

Can't reach BLR from SFO, so UA could have done it with a 30 minute fuel stop in SEA. And in the process, you lock up another Apple-like corporate account that has 6,500 people in Southern India. Great companies cannibalize themselves, befrore the competition does it. AA from SEA with a powerful Alaska feeder will be formidable on that route.

JimInOhio Feb 13, 2020 11:09 am


Originally Posted by spartacusmcfly (Post 32068101)
Can't reach BLR from SFO, so UA could have done it with a 30 minute fuel stop in SEA. And in the process, you lock up another Apple-like corporate account that has 6,500 people in Southern India. Great companies cannibalize themselves, befrore the competition does it. AA from SEA with a powerful Alaska feeder will be formidable on that route.

No, great companies don't chase after things like this. Do you know how many MSFT people travel between SEA and BLR each day?

findark Feb 13, 2020 11:10 am


Originally Posted by spartacusmcfly (Post 32068101)
Can't reach BLR from SFO, so UA could have done it with a 30 minute fuel stop in SEA.

A what? Ah, now I know who writes the ETDs I see in FLIFO every time a flight diverts.

spartacusmcfly Feb 13, 2020 11:11 am


Originally Posted by HNLbasedFlyer (Post 32068056)
If those MSFT employees weren't already UA fliers (they probably weren't out of SEA), then this isn't going to have an impact on UA. If they are UA fliers, I don't think one route is going to sway them.

How were those MSFT employees getting to India? It was either UA or Air India via SFO. Or some inefficient connection via Europe or Asia. You don't think a non-stop directly to souther India trumps those options?


Originally Posted by findark (Post 32068129)
A what? Ah, now I know who writes the ETDs I see in FLIFO every time a flight diverts.

English please.

findark Feb 13, 2020 11:18 am


Originally Posted by spartacusmcfly (Post 32068151)
English please.

Whenever a flight diverts, it gets a new estimated departure time (ETD) in United's flight information console (FLIFO). They are usually unrealistically short; things like 15 to 20 minutes wheels-to-wheels for a fuel stop, and inevitably get pushed back as reality incurs. The idea that a fuel stop in SEA would only take 30 minutes (are we still picking up these MSFT employees??) is unrealistic in the extreme.


Originally Posted by spartacusmcfly (Post 32068026)
It's niave to think it'll have no impact on United. MSFT alone has 6,500 employees in southern India. Lots of SEA folks connect via SFO to get to India. Also, I don't think you have to block any seats to BLR from SEA. A full 789 should clear the Himalayas.

No one flying for business is double-connecting in SFO to get from SEA to BLR. There are tons of one-stop options on all three alliances (CX, LH, EK, BA, DL to KLAF).

jsloan Feb 13, 2020 11:25 am


Originally Posted by findark (Post 32068165)
Whenever a flight diverts, it gets a new estimated departure time (ETD) in United's flight information console (FLIFO). They are usually unrealistically short; things like 15 to 20 minutes wheels-to-wheels for a fuel stop, and inevitably get pushed back as reality incurs. The idea that a fuel stop in SEA would only take 30 minutes (are we still picking up these MSFT employees??) is unrealistic in the extreme.

Correct.

Let's assume, for the sake of argument, that UA wanted to try this. By the time the SFO-SEA flight is added in, your duty periods are so long that you likely need a separate crew at SEA. You're also going to end up selling SFO-SEA tickets, so you're going to have to let people off. (Otherwise, you're flying a half-full 787). Because SEA-BLR is international, you have positive bag-matching, so now you have to segregate the bags and be ready to pull any for somebody who deplaned even though they weren't supposed to.

On the way back, you have to give everybody the chance to go through customs at SEA -- no way CBP is going to allow you to drop off some passengers but not others.

Realistically, you're probably looking at a 90-minute stop on the outbound and a two-hour stop on the return.

UA can't fly every single route.

flyingrohit Feb 13, 2020 11:27 am


Originally Posted by jsloan (Post 32065976)
The A359 might be able to do it in a low-density configuration. The 777-200LR probably could also.

77L can easily do it but UA doesn’t have any in line for orders does it? A359 could probably do it yeah. But as you suggest, probably a premium heavy config like SQ’s ULR would do the trick.

lol with the new Alaska OneWorld nonsense, I guess I can add OneWorld ruby to my bio next summer



Originally Posted by jsloan (Post 32065976)
The problem isn't selling the tickets: it's selling them profitably. There is a ton of competition on routes to India, and while there's no denying that SFO-BOM would be very popular for customers commuting between those two cities, there's still an extra stop for a lot of passengers -- and if you're stopping anyway, you may as well connect in AUH, DXB, or DOH, particularly if it saves a lot of money.

But with SFO arguably having the largest GS/1K presence among more UA elites (I think?) you don’t think there’s enough of them that would rather take this route rather than connecting through EWR. I mean looking at the loads on SFO-DEL, it seems to be doing pretty well honestly.

JimInOhio Feb 13, 2020 11:30 am


Originally Posted by flyingrohit (Post 32068212)
77L can easily do it but UA doesn’t have any in line for orders does it? A359 could probably do it yeah. But as you suggest, probably a premium heavy config like SQ’s ULR would do the trick.

lol with the new Alaska OneWorld nonsense, I guess I can add OneWorld ruby to my bio next summer



But with SFO arguably having the largest GS/1K presence among more UA elites (I think?) you don’t think there’s enough of them that would rather take this route rather than connecting through EWR. I mean looking at the loads on SFO-DEL, it seems to be doing pretty well honestly.

Largest number of GS/1K have SFO as their home airport? It’s one of UA’s smallest hubs.

jsloan Feb 13, 2020 11:39 am


Originally Posted by flyingrohit (Post 32068212)
77L can easily do it but UA doesn’t have any in line for orders does it? A359 could probably do it yeah. But as you suggest, probably a premium heavy config like SQ’s ULR would do the trick.

Correct; UA doesn't have the 77L. UA does have an A359 order in place, although I'm on record as saying that I don't believe they'll ever take delivery. If they do, I suppose they might go with a config similar to SQ. (I wouldn't have said that until they rolled out the high-J 763 configuration, showing that they're serious about trying a sparse configuration somewhere...)


Originally Posted by flyingrohit (Post 32068212)
But with SFO arguably having the largest GS/1K presence among more UA elites (I think?) you don’t think there’s enough of them that would rather take this route rather than connecting through EWR. I mean looking at the loads on SFO-DEL, it seems to be doing pretty well honestly.

Load factors aren't enough to tell how well a route is doing; you need yield information, which isn't published. However, I suspect you're right; with the right aircraft, UA could probably make SFO-BOM work. I'm just not sure they have that aircraft right now.


Originally Posted by JimInOhio (Post 32068226)
Largest number of GS/1K have SFO as their home airport? It’s one of UA’s smallest hubs.

There's an awful lot of money in the Bay Area. It wouldn't surprise me if this were actually true.

tods27 Feb 13, 2020 11:44 am


Originally Posted by JimInOhio (Post 32068226)
Largest number of GS/1K have SFO as their home airport? It’s one of UA’s smallest hubs.

I seem to remember that there were some stats floating around on this a while back. It's all the tech company people flying to Asia.

flyingrohit Feb 13, 2020 11:54 am


Originally Posted by jsloan (Post 32068274)
Correct; UA doesn't have the 77L. UA does have an A359 order in place, although I'm on record as saying that I don't believe they'll ever take delivery. If they do, I suppose they might go with a config similar to SQ. (I wouldn't have said that until they rolled out the high-J 763 configuration, showing that they're serious about trying a sparse configuration somewhere...)

And I’ve actually never flown a high J aircraft of any kind. But in July will be flying high J in J from LHR-EWR so let’s see how it’s like. Curious if service is a lot slower because a lot more J seats or what the situation is. I’d imagine when it’s full, it’s extremely profitable for UA.


Originally Posted by JimInOhio (Post 32068226)
Largest number of GS/1K have SFO as their home airport? It’s one of UA’s smallest hubs.

Don’t quote me on this but I’m pretty sure this is indeed the case. Every time I’m flying back home to sna out of SFO, it seems as if the GS check in area is always always full. And not to mention my sfo-sna flights have half the plane board during GS/1K before we even hit group 1.

HNLbasedFlyer Feb 13, 2020 12:01 pm


Originally Posted by spartacusmcfly (Post 32068135)
How were those MSFT employees getting to India? It was either UA or Air India via SFO. Or some inefficient connection via Europe or Asia.

Flying UA via SFO to BLR isn't the best routing (on top of potential delays at SFO). But I could see them going LH SEA-FRA-BLR, JAL SEA-NRT-BLR, or EK SEA-DXB-BLR, BA SEA-LHR-BLR, and on and on......

spartacusmcfly Feb 13, 2020 12:09 pm


Originally Posted by findark (Post 32068165)
Whenever a flight diverts, it gets a new estimated departure time (ETD) in United's flight information console (FLIFO). They are usually unrealistically short; things like 15 to 20 minutes wheels-to-wheels for a fuel stop, and inevitably get pushed back as reality incurs. The idea that a fuel stop in SEA would only take 30 minutes (are we still picking up these MSFT employees??) is unrealistic in the extreme...

I don't know the intricacies of fuel stops, but if you're saying it's not practical, then fine. I still feel UA should find a way to make this route happen from SFO. An airline with $50 billion in revenue should be able to secure the frames needed for this route to defend one of their most profitable hubs. Southern India is 252 million people (5th largest country in the world standalone). The only competition is Air India, which is on its death bed. Last I heard, the government got zero bidders in the AI privatization auction...

Routes like EWR-CPT & SFO-PPT are cute (and I'm sure profitable) but at the core, UA caters to business customers, including tech where they probably have #1 market share. They are letting others encroach into their hard-fought high-ground and I don't think that's smart.

jsloan Feb 13, 2020 12:28 pm


Originally Posted by HNLbasedFlyer (Post 32068374)
Flying UA via SFO to BLR isn't the best routing (on top of potential delays at SFO). But I could see them going LH SEA-FRA-BLR, JAL SEA-NRT-BLR, or EK SEA-DXB-BLR, BA SEA-LHR-BLR, and on and on......

A hypothetical SEA-SFO-BLR flight is nearly 400 miles longer than SEA-DXB-BLR. I know people who have gone via CDG. The route through Tokyo is shorter, but I don't know of anyone who takes it because the flight times don't line up properly.


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