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UA Announces Q1 2017 Financial Results 17 April / Conference Call 18 April

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Old Apr 9, 2017, 12:01 am
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UA Announces Q1 2017 Financial Results 17 April / Conference Call 18 April

UA Announces Q1 2017 Financial Results 17 April / Conference Call 18 April

CHICAGO, April 17, 2017 /PRNewswire/ -- United Airlines (UAL) today announced its first-quarter 2017 financial results.

•UAL reported first-quarter net income of $96 million, diluted earnings per share of $0.31, pre-tax earnings of $145 million and pre-tax margin of 1.7 percent.
•Excluding special items, UAL reported first-quarter net income of $129 million, diluted earnings per share of $0.41, pre-tax earnings of $196 million and pre-tax margin of 2.3 percent.

Oscar Munoz, chief executive officer of United Airlines, said, "In the first quarter of 2017, our financial and operational performance gives us a lot of confidence about the foundation we are building. It is obvious from recent experiences that we need to do a much better job serving our customers. The incident that took place aboard Flight 3411 has been a humbling experience, and I take full responsibility. This will prove to be a watershed moment for our company, and we are more determined than ever to put our customers at the center of everything we do. We are dedicated to setting the standard for customer service among U.S. airlines, as we elevate the experience our customers have with us from booking to baggage claim."

First-Quarter Revenue

For the first quarter of 2017, revenue was $8.4 billion, an increase of 2.7 percent year-over-year. First-quarter 2017 consolidated passenger revenue per available seat mile (PRASM) was flat and consolidated yield increased 0.4 percent compared to the first quarter of 2016.

Scott Kirby, president of United Airlines, said, "United is delivering on the commitments we made at investor day last fall. We saw positive trends in the revenue environment in the quarter and are optimistic about the year ahead. Looking forward, we expect second-quarter consolidated PRASM to be up 1.0 to 3.0 percent. This would mark the fifth straight quarter of sequential improvement and the first quarter of positive unit revenue growth in two years."

First-Quarter Costs

Operating expense was $8.1 billion in the first quarter, up 7.9 percent year-over-year. Excluding special charges, operating expense was $8.1 billion, a 10.0 percent increase year-over-year. Consolidated unit cost per available seat mile (CASM) increased 5.1 percent compared to the first quarter of 2016 due largely to higher fuel expense and the impact of labor agreements ratified in 2016. First-quarter consolidated CASM, excluding special charges, third-party business expenses, fuel and profit sharing, increased 5.0 percent year-over-year, driven mainly by higher labor expense.

Liquidity and Capital Allocation

In the first quarter of 2017, UAL increased its revolving credit facility by $650 million to a total capacity of $2.0 billion with the full amount currently undrawn and increased its existing term loan by approximately $440 million with more favorable terms and rates. Also in the first quarter, the company raised $300 million of unsecured debt at 5 percent.

UAL generated $547 million in operating cash flow and ended the quarter with $6.4 billion in unrestricted liquidity, including its $2.0 billion revolving credit facility. The company's capital expenditures were $691 million in the first quarter. Including assets acquired through the issuance of debt and airport construction financing and excluding fully reimbursable projects, the company invested $1.4 billion during the first quarter in adjusted capital expenditures. The company contributed $80 million to its pension plans and made debt and capital lease principal payments of $346 million in the first quarter.

For the 12 months ended March 31, 2017, the company's pre-tax income was $3.5 billion and return on invested capital (ROIC) was 17.5 percent. In the quarter, UAL purchased $0.3 billion of its common shares at an average price of $68.41 per share. As of March 31, 2017, the company had approximately $1.5 billion remaining to purchase shares under its existing share repurchase authority.

Andrew Levy, executive vice president and chief financial officer of United Airlines, said, "During the quarter, we improved our liquidity and continued to return cash to shareholders. We remain focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet and finding incremental cost savings opportunities."

For more information on UAL's second-quarter 2017 guidance, please visit ir.united.com for the company's investor update.

First-Quarter Highlights

Customer Experience
•Modernized airport screening experience with fully redesigned security checkpoint at Newark Liberty International Airport.
•Debuted new Terminal C North at Houston's George Bush Intercontinental Airport – elevating the customer experience with roomier gate areas, the latest technology and chef-inspired dining choices.
•United named "Eco-Airline of the Year" from Air Transport World magazine for its leadership in environmental action.
•Launched United Jetstream, a new online portal for corporate and travel agency customers that simplifies the travel management process and gives customers an intuitive suite of self-service tools.
•Launched new Basic Economy fare for travel between Minneapolis/St. Paul and any of United's seven U.S. hubs.

Network and Fleet
•Began implementing plan to improve the company's route network with more destinations, more flights and more convenient connections, with expectations to add service to 31 destinations across the U.S. and Europe in 2017.
•Took delivery of six Boeing 777-300ER aircraft, two Boeing 787-9 aircraft and one used Airbus A319 aircraft in the quarter.
•Purchased 12 currently operated Boeing 737NG aircraft previously leased to the company.
•Entered into a new partnership with Air Wisconsin Airlines to operate 50 regional jets under the United Express brand.

Operations and Employees
•Achieved a record-setting 25 zero-cancellation days for the mainline operation in the quarter.
•Consolidated completion factor was 97.5 percent in the first quarter, 0.6 points higher than the 96.9 percent from first-quarter 2016. This represents over 2,500 fewer flight cancellations compared to the first quarter of 2016.
•Achieved best-ever consolidated on-time departure rate for both February and March and lowest-ever first-quarter mishandled bag rate in company history.
•Employees earned cash-incentive payments of approximately $18 million for achieving operational performance goals in the quarter.
United Airlines to Hold Live Webcast of First-Quarter 2017 Financial Results
CHICAGO, April 7, 2017 /PRNewswire/ -- United Airlines will hold a conference call to discuss first-quarter 2017 financial results on Tuesday, April 18, at 9:30 a.m. CT/10:30 a.m. ET. A live, listen-only webcast of the conference call will be available at ir.united.com. The company will issue its first-quarter financial results and second-quarter 2017 investor update after market close on Monday, April 17.
The webcast will be available for replay within 24 hours of the conference call and then archived on the website for a limited time.

PDF

Q1 presentation link
Q1 call transcript link
Q1 webcast recording link

United Investor Update 18 April 2017 – Second Quarter
Q1 10K

Past results
UA Q4/Full Year 2016 Results/Conference Call 18 Jan 2017
UA Announces Q1 2016 Results / Conference Call 21 April 2016

**** Additional Sites reporting on UA/Industry Q1 results

Last edited by WineCountryUA; Apr 19, 2017 at 12:17 pm Reason: formatting
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Old Apr 17, 2017, 2:58 pm
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Interesting how low key Munoz and Kirby are playing these results. They are pretty good financially. But for them to crow about making lots of money after beating the teeth out of a passenger in order to reduce costs would probably not be a good idea.
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Old Apr 17, 2017, 3:05 pm
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Operationally, they are doing great, definitely helped by the relatively mild winter we have had. But it won't matter if they cannot recover the public's trust after their recent incident. I think Q2 will be more telling of the impact this will have, especially if they have to be more aggressive on pricing to sell tickets.

Oscar Munoz, chief executive officer of United Airlines, said, "In the first quarter of 2017, our financial and operational performance gives us a lot of confidence about the foundation we are building. It is obvious from recent experiences that we need to do a much better job serving our customers. The incident that took place aboard Flight 3411 has been a humbling experience, and I take full responsibility. This will prove to be a watershed moment for our company, and we are more determined than ever to put our customers at the center of everything we do. We are dedicated to setting the standard for customer service among U.S. airlines, as we elevate the experience our customers have with us from booking to baggage claim."
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Old Apr 17, 2017, 3:18 pm
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Sounds like they are boosting capacity more than previously forecast. Hopefully means more mainline/larger RJs!
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Old Apr 17, 2017, 3:23 pm
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Originally Posted by Explorer789
But it won't matter if they cannot recover the public's trust after their recent incident. I think Q2 will be more telling of the impact this will have, especially if they have to be more aggressive on pricing to sell tickets.
Well, they are out saying they expect 2Q to grow (and match the growth Delta called for in 2Q)

"Looking forward, we expect second-quarter consolidated PRASM to be up 1.0 to 3.0 percent. This would mark the fifth straight quarter of sequential improvement and the first quarter of positive unit revenue growth in two years.""

If they saw something really severe last week, you'd expect it to be reflected in some way in the 2Q outlook.

So if there is something, it's muddied enough they for the moment are saying things are fine for the next 2 months.
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Old Apr 17, 2017, 3:29 pm
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I am going to ignore Kirby's second quarter PRASM projections, and wait to see the actual numbers in July.

But based on some of the expert analysis lately, I am half expecting Munoz to announce that PRASM will come at the expense of ending all US-China flights by Labor Day, and replacing them with a single ex-NRT frequency, to be flown on a single ARJ21 that UA will also announce an order for Comac.
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Old Apr 17, 2017, 4:34 pm
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Originally Posted by blueman2
But for them to crow about making lots of money after beating the teeth out of a passenger in order to reduce costs would probably not be a good idea.
Wow, drama much? Haven't seen the video of Kirby & Oscar beating the teeth out of a man. I saw one of the police pulling a guy off a plane though.
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Old Apr 17, 2017, 4:50 pm
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Seeing as BE launches tomorrow, it will be interesting whether that interacts at all with the miasma of bad PR surrounding UA right now. I had been overweight UAL compared to other airlines and I rebalanced down ahead of earnings (oops? ) as I'm a little worried about the whole scandal going the same way as the food issues at CMG (shrugged off at first but continued press brought down a whole quarter of profits).

2Q17 will be an interesting time to watch UA's numbers.
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Old Apr 17, 2017, 6:23 pm
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Originally Posted by blueman2
Interesting how low key Munoz and Kirby are playing these results. They are pretty good financially. But for them to crow about making lots of money after beating the teeth out of a passenger in order to reduce costs would probably not be a good idea.
UA was profitable in the first quarter, but did not earn "lots of money" compared to Delta or compared to last year's first quarter.

Delta had pre-tax adjusted income (excluding special items) of $847 million;

UA had pre-tax income, excluding special items of $196 million.

Delta's income was more than four times the UA income.

Last year in the first quarter, UA earned $688 million, excluding special items. That's 3.5 times this year's first quarter income.

If Munoz and Kirby are low-key, it's because UA will again show the lowest profits of the US3 and a pre-tax margin of just 2.3%. You don't brag when your results are this bad. March, 2012, was a long five years ago, and UA has yet to recover from the hole dug by Smisek.

Yes, it was the first quarter, traditionally the leanest three months in the airline business, but when the results are so much worse year over year and so much worse than their major competiton (AA has already predicted a margin of 5% or so), it is a sign that the ship still hasn't been righted.

Nevertheless, Munoz and Kirby will probably crow about these profits tomorrow during the conference call.

Last edited by FWAAA; Apr 17, 2017 at 8:40 pm
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Old Apr 17, 2017, 7:29 pm
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UA very well might report the strongest revenue gains among the big 4. They beat DL in PRASM with a significant capacity increase to boot, and WN's PRASM projections are negative. I haven't read AA's guidance lately, but it's looking good for UA on the revenue side.
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Old Apr 18, 2017, 12:07 am
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Originally Posted by FWAAA

If Munoz and Kirby are low-key, it's because UA will again show the lowest profits of the US3 and a pre-tax margin of just 2.3%. You don't brag when your results are this bad. March, 2012, was a long five years ago, and UA has yet to recover from the hole dug by Smisek.
I think this is the take away. United did 2.6% better in passenger revenue (to 7.174B), but only did this because their ASM were up 2.6%. RPMs were only up 2.2%, so load factor actually fell slightly.

But their new labor and other costs were up 6.9%, fuel was up 28.1%, and net CASM (cost seat mile) was up 6%.

As a result their GAAP operating income fell from $649M to $278M (the margin fell from 7.9% to 3.3%).

Delta in contrast took at $125M hit to profit from its ATL WX event, but still posted $1053M in operating income (down from $1540M in 1Q 2016).

Delta's ASM was down, and I don't know how much of that is due to its WX melt down, nor how the $125M figure fits in via PRASM/Yield, but the relative PRASM is interesting: United 12 c/mi, which is flat from 1Q 2012, and Delta was at 13.28 c/mi (down .5%).

I am taking United's guidance with more than a little salt. Doubtlessly there will be some pointed questions about how booking is holding up tomorrow, but I doubt that the projections include any impact from last weeks events. This said, these results were slightly better than anticipated, and the market reacts to news, not the relative strenght of United vs. AA/DL, etc which is already somewhat baked into the stock price.
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Old Apr 18, 2017, 12:26 am
  #12  
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spin88: Delta's $125 million hit to earnings will fall in the second quarter; DL mentioned it in the first quarter release last week because it was known and material.

http://ir.delta.com/news-and-events/...t/default.aspx
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Old Apr 18, 2017, 12:32 am
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Originally Posted by FWAAA
spin88: Delta's $125 million hit to earnings will fall in the second quarter; DL mentioned it in the first quarter release last week because it was known and material.

http://ir.delta.com/news-and-events/...t/default.aspx
thanks for the clarification. Just landed from Europe, and am jet lagged, so did not catch that detail.

Then this is - while still not a good quarter for UAL - the first in a long while they have made some headway against the huge difference in PRASM.

You can really see the impact of the higher costs in this quarter for UAL, which will make price cuts and book away (if any) in response to "United beats Chinese" all the more interesting to watch. United has way too high of costs to be a ULCC, it really must attract traffic that will pay more.h
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Old Apr 18, 2017, 4:58 am
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Originally Posted by minnyfly
UA very well might report the strongest revenue gains among the big 4. They beat DL in PRASM with a significant capacity increase to boot, and WN's PRASM projections are negative. I haven't read AA's guidance lately, but it's looking good for UA on the revenue side.
Revenue is one thing. Income is another, and there is just no way you can out enough lipstick on the fact that Delta had pre-tax adjusted income excluding special items of $847 million, and that UA had pre-tax income, excluding special items of $196 million.

That is a huge difference.
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Old Apr 18, 2017, 6:26 am
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Originally Posted by halls120
Revenue is one thing. Income is another, and there is just no way you can out enough lipstick on the fact that Delta had pre-tax adjusted income excluding special items of $847 million, and that UA had pre-tax income, excluding special items of $196 million.

That is a huge difference.
It's reflective of a long-term structural difference between AA(US) and DL(NW, but less so) where UA(CO) has greater exposure to more longhaul and international markets versus domestic. This historically accounts for a high degree of seasonality in earnings. United is only part of the way through a redeployment/scale-up of capacity into the domestic market, which drove the strongest returns in the most recent business cycle. UA and CO both aggressively grew international while shrinking domestic in the 2005-2012 timeframe, arriving at a near 50-50 ASM allocation. This strategy left the merged company out in the cold when the US market rebounded in a big way while international struggled from 2012 onward.

United is playing catch-up, and now is about 55% domestic to 45% international, but it substantially missed out on the big gains of the past business cycle. As we know, this was mostly driven by domestic, as AA/DL/WN are each +/- a third larger than UA in that region. Even still, domestic posted basically flat, slightly down PRASM performance, which is a good sign. I think this discussion helps put United's earnings in context... it was a good quarter, especially on the operational front, but the hangover continues from previous management teams' strongly international-oriented network planning strategies. It was a capital-intensive gamble that didn't exactly deliver the expected returns.

I also note that UA kicked the "fleet review" can down the road for another quarter. Seems the company is getting very risk-averse in terms of capex.

Last edited by EWR764; Apr 18, 2017 at 6:32 am
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