Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
#1876
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
Oops... misread the original post... waiting on I .... nonetheless... call in and see if you can get lucky with a phone agent. I'm a bit surprised to see R availability and not I....
#1877
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 21,386
OP: It's a good sign, as you know there can no longer be any small groups of people waiting for upgraded seats* -- plus, UA doesn't think they can sell all of the seats they have available. However, open R space can be a magnet for people looking for confirmed upgrades...
* Any group of size 3 or fewer will have cleared already, and since upgrades will clear before I space will open, that means there are potentially fewer people in line waiting for the same inventory that you are.
#1878
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,446
#1879
Join Date: Oct 2017
Posts: 110
For anyone tracking this one, both passengers cleared yesterday into I. Here are the current loads for the flight after our clear:
- J9
- JN9
- C9
- D9
- Z9
- ZN9
- P9
- PN7
- R7
- RN7
- IN1
- I1
#1880
formerly DNPierson1
Join Date: Sep 2008
Programs: AA EXP, UA 1K
Posts: 135
On an AA EXP to UA 1k status match - relatively new to UA- and considering an EWR > SIN 11/29 - 12/4 (some flex on dates). It's $438 for the discounted fare class, or $1500 for W, and the chance for an upgrade with a friends GPUs. Can anyone provide insight into the chance of these legs clearing? I know it's a new route, perhaps that impacts how they load fares into the system.
LAX > SIN
LAX > SIN
- J9
- JN9
- C9
- D9
- Z9
- ZN9
- P6
- PN0
- R0
- RN0
- IN0
- I0
Last edited by dp555; Nov 20, 2017 at 8:40 am
#1881
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
On an AA EXP to UA 1k status match - relatively new to UA- and considering an EWR > SIN 11/29 - 12/4 (some flex on dates). It's $438 for the discounted fare class, or $1500 for W, and the chance for an upgrade with a friends GPUs. Can anyone provide insight into the chance of these legs clearing? I know it's a new route, perhaps that impacts how they load fares into the system.
LAX > SIN
LAX > SIN
- J9
- JN9
- C9
- D9
- Z9
- ZN9
- P6
- PN0
- R0
- RN0
- IN0
- I0
If you have no miles, I'm not sure if the gamble is worth paying average $550 each way to upgrade to W. P6 is not a bad sign, but could be a bit deceiving too especially if there are a lot of last minute J sales.
A $438 ticket is an absolute steal, and I would be willing to sit in Y for that price.
#1882
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Mar 2013
Programs: DL PM, MR Titanium/LTP, Hilton Diamond
Posts: 10,130
I'm in much the same boat. Have to head to Sydney and Singapore next week for work all coach. Trying my hardest to find a way to get part of the ticket upgraded - especially since this is last minute and all the good Y seats are taken on AA/DL/UA/etc.
SIN - LAX next Friday looks attractive but it's still 10 days away and I don't want to sit on UA for 16 hours on this flight if it doesn't clear (would rather take DL via NRT and DTW/ATL/SEA). Seat map shows 22 open J but as always I know that isn't a clean representation.
SIN - LAX next Friday looks attractive but it's still 10 days away and I don't want to sit on UA for 16 hours on this flight if it doesn't clear (would rather take DL via NRT and DTW/ATL/SEA). Seat map shows 22 open J but as always I know that isn't a clean representation.
- J9
- JN9
- C9
- D9
- Z9
- ZN9
- P0
- PN0
- R0
- RN0
- IN0
- I0
#1883
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
I'm in much the same boat. Have to head to Sydney and Singapore next week for work all coach. Trying my hardest to find a way to get part of the ticket upgraded - especially since this is last minute and all the good Y seats are taken on AA/DL/UA/etc.
SIN - LAX next Friday looks attractive but it's still 10 days away and I don't want to sit on UA for 16 hours on this flight if it doesn't clear (would rather take DL via NRT and DTW/ATL/SEA). Seat map shows 22 open J but as always I know that isn't a clean representation.
SIN - LAX next Friday looks attractive but it's still 10 days away and I don't want to sit on UA for 16 hours on this flight if it doesn't clear (would rather take DL via NRT and DTW/ATL/SEA). Seat map shows 22 open J but as always I know that isn't a clean representation.
- J9
- JN9
- C9
- D9
- Z9
- ZN9
- P0
- PN0
- R0
- RN0
- IN0
- I0
#1884
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Mar 2013
Programs: DL PM, MR Titanium/LTP, Hilton Diamond
Posts: 10,130
Yeah definitely miles + copay. It's a Q fare so $350 on the copay which isn't terrible. What sucks is SIN - NRT - SFO - RDU has R space the whole way (on the UA flights) if I leave early Saturday morning but I can't book it because SIN - NRT - SFO - RDU is coming through Concur around $4.5k for a Y fare vs. SIN - LAX - SFO/IAH/ORD - RDU around $1.7 for a Y fare and so of course the $4.5k is way out of policy on the price.
#1885
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
Yeah definitely miles + copay. It's a Q fare so $350 on the copay which isn't terrible. What sucks is SIN - NRT - SFO - RDU has R space the whole way (on the UA flights) if I leave early Saturday morning but I can't book it because SIN - NRT - SFO - RDU is coming through Concur around $4.5k for a Y fare vs. SIN - LAX - SFO/IAH/ORD - RDU around $1.7 for a Y fare and so of course the $4.5k is way out of policy on the price.
#1886
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Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,446
SIN - LAX next Friday looks attractive but it's still 10 days away and I don't want to sit on UA for 16 hours on this flight if it doesn't clear (would rather take DL via NRT and DTW/ATL/SEA). Seat map shows 22 open J but as always I know that isn't a clean representation.
- J9
- JN9
- C9
- D9
- Z9
- ZN9
- P0
- PN0
- R0
- RN0
- IN0
- I0
#1887
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Floating around
Programs: UA 1K (1MM), DL Gold (1MM), Marriott LTT
Posts: 10,341
It's possible (not saying probable or even likely) that GS has actually already cleared. We'll just never know. So maybe better to assume they haven't cleared at all which will take away some of the 21 open seats.
As for the OP, I like the availability and the option of miles + copay on a "Q" fare. Depending on day of week, I think your chances are pretty good. But you are likely going to have to sweat it out until the gate.
-RM
#1888
formerly DNPierson1
Join Date: Sep 2008
Programs: AA EXP, UA 1K
Posts: 135
Oh interesting - that likely does make sense, as I have a friend who owes me 60k UA miles. Thanks for the feedback.
#1889
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Join Date: Apr 2013
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Posts: 56,446
#1890
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Mar 2013
Programs: DL PM, MR Titanium/LTP, Hilton Diamond
Posts: 10,130
There _could_ be GS waitlisted, yes. But as I have posted several times in the GS thread, I find that UA clears GS into "PN" via a hidden bucket or availability. Several times this year I have cleared PN while on the phone with the GS agent applying the GPU when the flight was clearly PN=0 on the website.
It's possible (not saying probable or even likely) that GS has actually already cleared. We'll just never know. So maybe better to assume they haven't cleared at all which will take away some of the 21 open seats.
As for the OP, I like the availability and the option of miles + copay on a "Q" fare. Depending on day of week, I think your chances are pretty good. But you are likely going to have to sweat it out until the gate.
-RM
It's possible (not saying probable or even likely) that GS has actually already cleared. We'll just never know. So maybe better to assume they haven't cleared at all which will take away some of the 21 open seats.
As for the OP, I like the availability and the option of miles + copay on a "Q" fare. Depending on day of week, I think your chances are pretty good. But you are likely going to have to sweat it out until the gate.
-RM