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[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight [2017]

[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight [2017]

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Old Oct 30, 17, 4:29 pm
  #1051  
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: SFO
Programs: UA 1K, SY, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 6,937
Originally Posted by sfo789 View Post
AKL<>SFO has historically been pretty easy to GPU. I see I(N) within T-24 quite frequently, so I'd be surprised if you don't clear that one.
I tend to agree (especially with 60J on what seems to be a leisure route), although UA is very tight-fisted about I space on the route. And then again they must have had some reason to upgauge to 77W..
findark is offline  
Old Oct 30, 17, 5:06 pm
  #1052  
 
Join Date: May 2016
Location: SFO
Programs: UA 1k
Posts: 170
I've got a few RPUs applied on p.s. and I was wondering what odds would be like, I suspect pretty bad on #1 considering P0?

1. SFO-EWR, UA1262, FRI 10 NOV, 0050/0915 solo passenger, no status, RPU applied, L fare, 757 with 28J seats:
J8 C8 D6 Z3 P0 Y9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H7 Q0 V0 W0 S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9

2. SFO-EWR, UA1799, FRI 10 NOV, 2115/0537+1, solo passenger, 1k, RPU, K fare, 757 with 16J seats:
J9 C9 D9 Z9 P5 Y9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 Q9 V9 W9 S9 T8 L4 K2 G0 N9

3. EWR-SFO, UA1483, SUN 12 NOV, 0600/0926, 2 pax (1k + general member), one booking, 2xRPUs, K-fare, 757 with 28J seats:
J8 C8 D8 Z7 P6 Y9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 Q9 V9 W8 S1 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9
mrt88 is offline  
Old Oct 30, 17, 5:09 pm
  #1053  
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: SFO
Programs: UA 1K, SY, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 6,937
Originally Posted by mrt88 View Post
I've got a few RPUs applied on p.s. and I was wondering what odds would be like, I suspect pretty bad on #1 considering P0?

1. SFO-EWR, UA1262, FRI 10 NOV, 0050/0915 solo passenger, no status, RPU applied, L fare, 757 with 28J seats:
J8 C8 D6 Z3 P0 Y9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H7 Q0 V0 W0 S0 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9

2. SFO-EWR, UA1799, FRI 10 NOV, 2115/0537+1, solo passenger, 1k, RPU, K fare, 757 with 16J seats:
J9 C9 D9 Z9 P5 Y9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 Q9 V9 W9 S9 T8 L4 K2 G0 N9

3. EWR-SFO, UA1483, SUN 12 NOV, 2 pax (1k + general member), one booking, 2xRPUs, K-fare, 757 with 28J seats:
J8 C8 D8 Z7 P6 Y9 B9 M9 E9 U9 H9 Q9 V9 W8 S1 T0 L0 K0 G0 N9
Unfortunately, I think number 2 is the only one with even a prayer. The first is a peak time flight, J8 with 1.5 business weeks left to book. The third might have some chance, but down to J8 already on a 28J plane is a horrible signal.
mrt88 likes this.
findark is offline  
Old Oct 30, 17, 5:22 pm
  #1054  
 
Join Date: May 2016
Location: SFO
Programs: UA 1k
Posts: 170
Originally Posted by findark View Post
Unfortunately, I think number 2 is the only one with even a prayer. The first is a peak time flight, J8 with 1.5 business weeks left to book. The third might have some chance, but down to J8 already on a 28J plane is a horrible signal.
Thanks for the input! I have to say I was surprised by the low number of J open on the 3rd one, I didn't think so many people would be keen on a 6am Sunday flight to the west coast :|

I'll let you guys know if any end up clearing!
mrt88 is offline  
Old Oct 30, 17, 5:57 pm
  #1055  
 
Join Date: Sep 2017
Location: EWR
Posts: 42
Originally Posted by findark View Post
Unfortunately, I think number 2 is the only one with even a prayer. The first is a peak time flight, J8 with 1.5 business weeks left to book. The third might have some chance, but down to J8 already on a 28J plane is a horrible signal.
I just flew the 1483 EWR-SFO this past Saturday, and I was planning to update with my results anyway.

2 pax, no status, miles upgrade on S fare, we ended up # 3 and 4 on the upgrade list out of 7, with 8 unbooked seats at T-24. There had been no R space for months leading up to the flight.

Well.... I cleared! And my SO would have, he had moved up to #1 on the list with J3, but we had a very unfortunate last minute equipment change. The 28J cabin was downgraded to the other 757 with only a 16J cabin. I'm not surprised that it happened, as the "Where is this plane coming from" link hadn't been updated for 24+ hours, so clearly something was wrong with the plane as it had stopped flying.

I wasn't too upset, since the hope of an upgrade was slim for me anyway, and the goodwill gesture of miles + instrument refund satisfied me. However, I felt REALLY bad for paid J tickets who were bumped back to coach, and had to stand in line at the gate at 5:30am trying to get seat reassignments and compensation sorted out.

I had to admit that the United agents handled things pretty well. I just went EWR-SFO-OGG and back, and every employee I met in person was great. My problems so far have been with the horrible, horrible call center agents, but that's a whole other post.
jerseykeebs is offline  
Old Oct 31, 17, 6:28 am
  #1056  
 
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: ORD
Programs: UA 1K
Posts: 65
Originally Posted by sfo789 View Post
AKL<>SFO has historically been pretty easy to GPU. I see I(N) within T-24 quite frequently, so I'd be surprised if you don't clear that one.
This is good to hear because I'm thinking of a quick trip. Is AKL-SFO better than AKL-LAX? What about the reverse? And any days of the week in either direction that are best for GPUs? THANK YOU!
ChiTownMuggle is offline  
Old Oct 31, 17, 1:56 pm
  #1057  
 
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: SFO
Programs: UA 1K, SY, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 6,937
Originally Posted by ChiTownMuggle View Post
This is good to hear because I'm thinking of a quick trip. Is AKL-SFO better than AKL-LAX? What about the reverse? And any days of the week in either direction that are best for GPUs? THANK YOU!
UA doesn't fly AKL-LAX. Monday through Wednesday outbounds have historically been much better for upgrades. Tuesday is probably the peak in both directions.
findark is offline  
Old Oct 31, 17, 6:10 pm
  #1058  
 
Join Date: May 2016
Location: SFO
Programs: UA 1k
Posts: 170
@jerseykeebs thanks for the update, hopefully I get lucky too hehehe !
mrt88 is offline  
Old Nov 1, 17, 7:04 am
  #1059  
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 46
EWR-NRT chances?

I'm about a month out from EWR-NRT, booked in beginning of August. No status with UA. Opinion on my upgrade chances? Current fares available J9JN9C9D1Z0ZN0P0PN0R0

Thanks

Matt
mattfusf is offline  
Old Nov 1, 17, 7:12 am
  #1060  
 
Join Date: Dec 2016
Location: ORD
Programs: UA 1K
Posts: 65
Thank you, @findark. I've been playing with various options so much that I forgot LAX-AKL wasn't an option. Appreciate the input.
ChiTownMuggle is offline  
Old Nov 1, 17, 7:20 am
  #1061  
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Programs: UA 1K, AA Gold, Marriott/SPG Plat, Hyatt Explorist
Posts: 685
Originally Posted by mattfusf View Post
I'm about a month out from EWR-NRT, booked in beginning of August. No status with UA. Opinion on my upgrade chances? Current fares available J9JN9C9D1Z0ZN0P0PN0R0

Thanks

Matt
Very low. You might want to buy up to that last D class fare.
getagb is offline  
Old Nov 1, 17, 7:32 am
  #1062  
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 46
Originally Posted by getagb View Post
Very low. You might want to buy up to that last D class fare.
Thanks. I do have a space available upgrade cert as a plan B but didn't want to burn it. I am presuming those have higher priority day of?
mattfusf is offline  
Old Nov 1, 17, 4:47 pm
  #1063  
Marriott Contributor Badge
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: TPA
Programs: UA 1K, Marriott Plat, Hilton Silver
Posts: 200
Trying to book TPA-LHR on Sat Dec 2nd or Sun Dec 3rd and looking to upgrade - either GPU or Miles & Copay. I'm 1K.

I've got a flight that lists:
J9
JN9
C9
D9
Z9
ZN9
P1
PN0
R0
RN0

What are my chances? Best bet to try GPU or Miles & Copay?

I've upgraded before and know about R, but sadly can't find anything.

What should I be looking at?
jonisflying is offline  
Old Nov 1, 17, 5:04 pm
  #1064  
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Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: SFO
Programs: UA 1K 1MM; DL Plat; Marriott Plat Premier; Hilton Diamond (Aspire); Hyatt Refugeeist
Posts: 34,930
Originally Posted by jonisflying View Post

What should I be looking at?
The overwater segment only (XXX-LHR). TPA-XXX will negate the inventory results.
Kacee is offline  
Old Nov 1, 17, 5:07 pm
  #1065  
Marriott Contributor Badge
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: TPA
Programs: UA 1K, Marriott Plat, Hilton Silver
Posts: 200
Originally Posted by Kacee View Post
The overwater segment only (XXX-LHR). TPA-XXX will negate the inventory results.
Thank you Kacee! Yeah, those number are for the IAD-LHR leg, should I just search XXX-LHR?
jonisflying is offline  

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