UA to launch SFO - HGH service (Hangzhou, China) {Service terminated 14 Oct 2017}
#151
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: SFO
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Isn't CAN a zone 1 airport in the bilateral? If so, there r only 4 or 5 slots left for zone 1 airports.
#152
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: KHH, FUK, SNA
Programs: BR, UA 1k, CX
Posts: 1,181
Thinking about taking this flight SFO-HGH on Wednesday 10/26. Load looks empty as of now, but wondering if anybody has experience or knowledge on load factors and when most people will book for this flight. If I can get a row to myself in E+, I don't want to waste the UPG.
Not sure how long they can keep this fight, with so few passengers.
#153
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: NYC (Primarily EWR)
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Of the secondary city flights they have launched from SFO, it seems like this is the worst-performing one? Kind of makes me wonder if there is another long/thin route (like SFO-BKK) that would make more sense / money.
#154
Join Date: Mar 2012
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Perhaps this flight pays its way on cargo revenues?
#155
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Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Shanghai
Posts: 42,009
As I've stated in previous threads on this topic, SFO-HGH might not be mature enough wrt supply/demand now, but if UA didn't claim it, another airline would. 5 years from now, I'm guessing we'll conclude that launching the route was a smart call on UA's part.
#156
Join Date: Sep 2015
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Yeah, this flight has not done so well. UA was hoping to rely on people avoiding PVG and choose HGH instead. However, that has not been the case. UA should really consider BKK & SGN as replacements for this route. Both of those destinations have high O&D demand from SFO and can be done with a 789. China's economy is also slowing down right now.
#157
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Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Shanghai
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Yeah, this flight has not done so well. UA was hoping to rely on people avoiding PVG and choose HGH instead. However, that has not been the case. UA should really consider BKK & SGN as replacements for this route. Both of those destinations have high O&D demand from SFO and can be done with a 789. China's economy is also slowing down right now.
2. BKK and SGN are not especially close to SFO
3. do you honestly believe China's economy is less stable than Thailand's?
#158
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: SFO
Programs: AS MVP, FB Silver (former UA 1K)
Posts: 161
I'm not sure that you've understood the poster's points. He was simply noting that BKK and SGN are within the range of the aircraft, not that they were closer than HGH to SFO. This would allow, but not require, the aircraft to be switched to those routes. Also, there was no comparison made between the economy of China and other countries. The point was that the current state of China's economy does not portend a short-term solution to poor demand for this route.
#159
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: KHH, FUK, SNA
Programs: BR, UA 1k, CX
Posts: 1,181
Yes, more time is needed, but we will see how long UA will wait, from now to CNY, my guess it will be like this with very low loads? The better comparision would be how Chinese Airlines are doing on USA-China 2nd tier/below cities, such as LAX-Changsha, or Xiamen-Seattle flights?
#160
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Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Shanghai
Posts: 42,009
I'm not sure that you've understood the poster's points. He was simply noting that BKK and SGN are within the range of the aircraft, not that they were closer than HGH to SFO. This would allow, but not require, the aircraft to be switched to those routes. Also, there was no comparison made between the economy of China and other countries. The point was that the current state of China's economy does not portend a short-term solution to poor demand for this route.
#162
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: SFO
Programs: UA Platinum
Posts: 484
Could the light loads this week be due to the G20 summit and the travel restrictions into Hangzhou?
#163
Join Date: Feb 2008
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This said SFO-HGH is 6247 miles. SGN is 7837 miles, and BKK is 7932 miles. That is a HUGE difference, much different fuel burn. HGN can be done with no weight restriction (lots of cargo), SGN and BKK will require in the winter not only no cargo going west, but empty seats. And the per seat/mile fuel cost is substantially higher. I don't see UA being able to do either SGN or BKK profitably, compared to other (equal or better) options.
#164
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Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Shanghai
Posts: 42,009
Yes. I would not judge this flight this week, no idea how the G20 impacts things. And I say that as a (see above) skeptic...
This said SFO-HGH is 6247 miles. SGN is 7837 miles, and BKK is 7932 miles. That is a HUGE difference, much different fuel burn. HGN can be done with no weight restriction (lots of cargo), SGN and BKK will require in the winter not only no cargo going west, but empty seats. And the per seat/mile fuel cost is substantially higher. I don't see UA being able to do either SGN or BKK profitably, compared to other (equal or better) options.
This said SFO-HGH is 6247 miles. SGN is 7837 miles, and BKK is 7932 miles. That is a HUGE difference, much different fuel burn. HGN can be done with no weight restriction (lots of cargo), SGN and BKK will require in the winter not only no cargo going west, but empty seats. And the per seat/mile fuel cost is substantially higher. I don't see UA being able to do either SGN or BKK profitably, compared to other (equal or better) options.
#165
Join Date: Apr 2004
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