Feb 9, 2019, 8:39 pm
Last edit by: WineCountryUA
This is an archive thread, the active thread is
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
Related thread - Understanding the United Upgrade List Comprehensively
[Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight {Archive}
Apr 3, 2017, 11:52 am
#1021
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 12
I just found the advanced flight status tool and saw that my flight only has 10/40 booked and flight is 5/20 (PVG-ORD). I checked the Saturday before and after and saw both have 17 booked. Im assuming this is good and wondering how quickly the seats can fill since the lowest fare is still D and they don't appear to be selling as of now. Thanks for any help (I'm very anxious about my upgrade clearing if you can't tell ��)
Apr 3, 2017, 11:57 am
#1022
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,423
I just found the advanced flight status tool and saw that my flight only has 10/40 booked and flight is 5/20 (PVG-ORD). I checked the Saturday before and after and saw both have 17 booked. Im assuming this is good and wondering how quickly the seats can fill since the lowest fare is still D and they don't appear to be selling as of now. Thanks for any help (I'm very anxious about my upgrade clearing if you can't tell ��)
Apr 3, 2017, 12:17 pm
#1023
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Washington, DC
Programs: UA 1K 1MM, AA, DL
Posts: 7,418
What day of the week is the flight? If it is Friday/Saturday/Sunday, it is very likely to fill up. If it is mid-week there is some chance it won't fill up.
Apr 3, 2017, 12:22 pm
#1024
Join Date: Jan 2016
Posts: 622
Thanks all. I was curious if the flight would fill up, so that helps.
My partner informed me it was also an additional 30k in miles. Does that change anyone's mind? We have over 10x that in points.
Money and points-wise, we are ok. It's just wondering if this is a good deal or if we could better spend elsewhere. We did Economy Plus IAD to Auckland so we know we can survive at least!
My partner informed me it was also an additional 30k in miles. Does that change anyone's mind? We have over 10x that in points.
Money and points-wise, we are ok. It's just wondering if this is a good deal or if we could better spend elsewhere. We did Economy Plus IAD to Auckland so we know we can survive at least!
If you can get two seats on one edge, you'll have a whole 'row' to yourself, with a bit of extra privacy.
Apr 3, 2017, 12:31 pm
#1025
Join Date: Oct 2016
Posts: 9
Suddenly the other replies make a lot more sense. Welp, there goes that idea. Maybe worth burning miles for, though, for a flight that long. But I'll be able to see at booking time as others have mentioned.
Apr 3, 2017, 1:00 pm
#1026
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: ORD
Posts: 73
How do you folks feel about ORD - CUN, Thursday 4/13 morning, 739... J9 JN9 C9 D9 Z9 ZN9 P9 PN9 R8 RN8? Can upfare for about $160, RPU (8 seats available), or mileage (25k). No paid upgrades available. Thoughts on waiting for CPU?
Apr 3, 2017, 1:04 pm
#1027
Join Date: Apr 2017
Posts: 4
Thanks all! We upgraded, grabbed the last two seaters available! This can get addicting, we were notified of a similar upgrade on the leg back. Hah.
Apr 3, 2017, 1:23 pm
#1028
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: MSP
Programs: DL PM, UA Gold, WN, Global Entry; +others wherever miles/points are found
Posts: 14,394
Traveling alone as a Plat? Three morning flights are all R7, R8, or R9. I'd wait for the CPU unless your RPUs are going to expire anyway.
Apr 3, 2017, 1:24 pm
#1029
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: NYC (Primarily EWR)
Programs: UA 1K / *G, Marriott Bonvoy Gold; Avis PC
Posts: 8,995
Anyone have experience getting upgraded from Business to First on LHR-EWR? All the F buckets are zeroed out, but the seat map is open (save for crew rest seat). I applied the 20k upgrade for kicks, but wonder how realistic that it will clear...
Apr 3, 2017, 1:27 pm
#1030
formerly fkhatibloo
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: SFO/OAK
Programs: United 1K & 1MM, Marriott Gold, Starwood Gold, Omni Select
Posts: 182
UA535 on 4/5 - J9, but RPUs not clearing yet?
We're 48 hours out, and even though P9, Z9, and even ZN9, RN = 0?
In C, 42/60 seats are booked (hasn't changed since Sat). Why wouldn't they begin clearing a few elites at this point? Do they really think they'll sell 18 paid upgrades for this flight? It *is* a retrofitted Polaris cabin, so possibly they're holding out for the paid upgrades, but it sure would stink if all of these flights in the future were going to be same-day clears.
Anyone know if UA is treating the true Polaris flights differently?
In C, 42/60 seats are booked (hasn't changed since Sat). Why wouldn't they begin clearing a few elites at this point? Do they really think they'll sell 18 paid upgrades for this flight? It *is* a retrofitted Polaris cabin, so possibly they're holding out for the paid upgrades, but it sure would stink if all of these flights in the future were going to be same-day clears.
Anyone know if UA is treating the true Polaris flights differently?
Apr 3, 2017, 1:41 pm
#1032
Join Date: Mar 2017
Posts: 12
It's a Saturday. I've been tracking flights each weekend and it seems saturday is the least popular of the three days as of late. Hoping it stays that way!
Last edited by jh145; Apr 3, 2017 at 2:10 pm
Apr 3, 2017, 2:36 pm
#1033
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: EWR/LHR/SFO
Programs: UA 1K 1MM
Posts: 574
We're 48 hours out, and even though P9, Z9, and even ZN9, RN = 0?
In C, 42/60 seats are booked (hasn't changed since Sat). Why wouldn't they begin clearing a few elites at this point? Do they really think they'll sell 18 paid upgrades for this flight? It *is* a retrofitted Polaris cabin, so possibly they're holding out for the paid upgrades, but it sure would stink if all of these flights in the future were going to be same-day clears.
Anyone know if UA is treating the true Polaris flights differently?
In C, 42/60 seats are booked (hasn't changed since Sat). Why wouldn't they begin clearing a few elites at this point? Do they really think they'll sell 18 paid upgrades for this flight? It *is* a retrofitted Polaris cabin, so possibly they're holding out for the paid upgrades, but it sure would stink if all of these flights in the future were going to be same-day clears.
Anyone know if UA is treating the true Polaris flights differently?
I would expect maybe 5-10 more seats to sell, then a bunch of people to clear en masse at T-22 until the flight gets to ~J5. Perhaps one or two more people will then clear at the gate. If you're on a decent fare you stand a solid shot. Good luck!
Apr 3, 2017, 2:48 pm
#1034
A FlyerTalk Posting Legend
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: PHX
Programs: AS 75K; UA 1MM; Hyatt Globalist; Marriott LTP; Hilton Diamond (Aspire)
Posts: 56,423
We're 48 hours out, and even though P9, Z9, and even ZN9, RN = 0?
In C, 42/60 seats are booked (hasn't changed since Sat). Why wouldn't they begin clearing a few elites at this point? Do they really think they'll sell 18 paid upgrades for this flight? It *is* a retrofitted Polaris cabin, so possibly they're holding out for the paid upgrades, but it sure would stink if all of these flights in the future were going to be same-day clears.
In C, 42/60 seats are booked (hasn't changed since Sat). Why wouldn't they begin clearing a few elites at this point? Do they really think they'll sell 18 paid upgrades for this flight? It *is* a retrofitted Polaris cabin, so possibly they're holding out for the paid upgrades, but it sure would stink if all of these flights in the future were going to be same-day clears.
Apr 3, 2017, 2:53 pm
#1035
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: LBB
Programs: UA 1K 1MM ★G | Marriott LTT | Hilton ♦ | Hertz PC | Global Entry TSA Pre ✓
Posts: 2,820
Especially when they give a general offer to buy up for $250 or so, regardless of which Y booking class you are in. Last year, I was booked in L, and paid $290 to bump up to J on p.s. EWR-LAX.... nabbed the last seat on that flight.
Even with 10+ open seats, I would expect buy-ups to clean up those open seats on DoD. If you're interested, I would shell out the $ or place all bets on sitting in Y. Personally, I would pay up to sit in the new Polaris seat... and I'm sure there are others that feel similarly.
Even with 10+ open seats, I would expect buy-ups to clean up those open seats on DoD. If you're interested, I would shell out the $ or place all bets on sitting in Y. Personally, I would pay up to sit in the new Polaris seat... and I'm sure there are others that feel similarly.