Winter (Q1 2015) schedule cuts coming

Old Sep 22, 14, 4:20 pm
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Winter (Q1 2015) schedule cuts coming

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-0...akes-fall.html

Domestic airports that will see the biggest United cuts in the first quarter include Washington’s Dulles International Airport, where seats will fall by 14 percent, and Denver and Los Angeles international airports, each down by 7 percent. Seats to Tokyo Narita International Airport will fall by 17 percent, McKenzie estimated.
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Old Sep 22, 14, 4:24 pm
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Smile Old news

This really is old news. In July this was all announced. The conference call for the 2nd qtr. has all the details. The only reason this poped up as news today is the aviation conference going on today in Chicago and the United CFO gave a presentation on the topic.
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Old Sep 22, 14, 4:25 pm
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The NRT figure (17%) is misleading since UA is shifting one of the SFO-NRT flights to HND.
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Old Sep 22, 14, 4:28 pm
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When will AA overtake IAD? With -14% reduction, we need another airlines to step-up.
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Old Sep 22, 14, 4:40 pm
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This is only half of the story, as the July schedule increase is not yet loaded. UA has been saying its capacity distribution will be much more seasonal going forward, so I don't see anything new here.
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Old Sep 22, 14, 4:51 pm
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has anyone else noticed that DL and AA have been expanding their route network, both domestically and internationally, but COdbaUA has been shrinking, particularly on the domestic front? Very telling
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Old Sep 22, 14, 4:52 pm
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Originally Posted by Karlson View Post
When will AA overtake IAD? With -14% reduction, we need another airlines to step-up.
With the largest presence at DCA and hubs in both PHL and CLT, I don't see that happening.
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Old Sep 22, 14, 4:52 pm
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This is only half of the story, as the July schedule increase is not yet loaded. UA has been saying its capacity distribution will be much more seasonal going forward, so I don't see anything new here.
What increase? they're cutting in the winter, not increasing in the summer. You might have a couple marginal aircraft that won't be in for MX than would otherwise be, but otherwise, they already run an excessively tight schedule and won't be adding more capacity.
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Old Sep 22, 14, 5:04 pm
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#8

# 8 You are not correct. THE SUMMER WILL HAVE AN Increase from last year.
More mainline aircraft will be available for several reason. As announced in the conference call from management-more aircraft are being pulled for maintenance during the winer and many aircraft will be finished from many projects (new seats,wi fi ext) then were 2014.

Also as management indicated they are in the market for used aircraft of the 737 type. This will be happen to be available in Summer 2015
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Old Sep 22, 14, 5:15 pm
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Originally Posted by demkr View Post

has anyone else noticed that DL and AA have been expanding their route network, both domestically and internationally, but COdbaUA has been shrinking, particularly on the domestic front? Very telling
Yes, DL is doubling down in SEA and adding a second daily SEA-HND all winter.

(Not. DL is doing exactly what UA us doing, and seasonally cutting this flight. Will restart in March.)

What is the problem with cutting flights / seats to places seasonally when nobody wants to fly there?

Seems like sound business by all airlines.
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Old Sep 22, 14, 5:18 pm
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Originally Posted by demkr View Post
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has anyone else noticed that DL and AA have been expanding their route network, both domestically and internationally, but COdbaUA has been shrinking, particularly on the domestic front? Very telling
Actually I noticed that DL cut their direct EWR-SLC AM flight in late December.

UA fans, don't get too smug...UA's DEN-SLC went from an A319 to an RJ. I don't know if the frequency changed.

Is there an easy way to compare route networks?
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Old Sep 22, 14, 5:18 pm
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Originally Posted by trk1 View Post
# 8 You are not correct. THE SUMMER WILL HAVE AN Increase from last year.
More mainline aircraft will be available for several reason. As announced in the conference call from management-more aircraft are being pulled for maintenance during the winer and many aircraft will be finished from many projects (new seats,wi fi ext) then were 2014.

Also as management indicated they are in the market for used aircraft of the 737 type. This will be happen to be available in Summer 2015
We will have to wait and see when schedules are actually published. They may hope to increase capacity but will surely come up with an excuse if it doesn't happen. Weather/oil prices/maintenance delays/couldn't find any suitable used aircraft, etc.
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Old Sep 22, 14, 7:11 pm
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# 8 You are not correct. THE SUMMER WILL HAVE AN Increase from last year.
More mainline aircraft will be available for several reason. As announced in the conference call from management-more aircraft are being pulled for maintenance during the winer and many aircraft will be finished from many projects (new seats,wi fi ext) then were 2014.

Also as management indicated they are in the market for used aircraft of the 737 type. This will be happen to be available in Summer 2015
whatever you say, there aren't exactly a bunch of 738/9s lying around for the taking , and they're dumping 752's faster than they can bring new, dark 739ER's on the property.

Do you think they're going to bring back the 733s and 735s they dumped in Russia?
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Old Sep 22, 14, 7:25 pm
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Or, they just lie. Occam's Razor......

Originally Posted by entropy View Post
whatever you say, there aren't exactly a bunch of 738/9s lying around for the taking , and they're dumping 752's faster than they can bring new, dark 739ER's on the property.

Do you think they're going to bring back the 733s and 735s they dumped in Russia?
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Old Sep 22, 14, 7:35 pm
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They can cut all they want, I'm sure China Southern and the various foreign carriers will continue to send A380s to make up the slack.
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